Thursday, March 29, 2012

TD PAKHAR [02W] - Update #001


for Thursday, 29 March 2012 [1:16 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday Mar 29 2012):

Now issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on PAKHAR (02W).


+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks


11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Thu 29 Mar 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
The intense area of low pressure (tropical disturbance) which was lingering for days over the southern part of the South China Sea, has strengthened into Tropical Depression PAKHAR (02W). This is the 2nd Tropical Cyclone of the 2012 Season here in the Western Pacific/South China Sea Sector, and now pose a threat to the Southeastern Coastline of Vietnam this weekend.

Residents and visitors along the Spratly Islands & Southeastern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of PAKHAR (02W).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Thu March 29 2012
Location of Center: 9.7º N Lat 112.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 287 km SW of Pagasa Is., Spratlys
Distance 2: 318 km West of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 421 km SE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 4: 603 km ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 5: 723 km West of Puerto Princesa City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 04 kph (02 kts)
Towards: Southeastern Vietnam
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 370 km (200 nm) [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Thu Mar 29


PAKHAR (02W) is expected to move very slowly NW-ward over the next 24 hours before turning westward over the next 48 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of PAKHAR will be just along the Southeastern Coastline of Vietnam on Sunday, April 1st.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. Further strenghening is forecast during the next 48 to 72 hours...and PAKHAR could become a Tropical Storm later today. .

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

FRIDAY MORNING:  Strengthens into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it drifts NW-ward across the South China Sea [8AM MAR 30: 10.2N 111.9E @ 75kph].
SATURDAY MORNING:  Still strengthening as it turns more westward towards Southeastern Vietnam [8AM MAR 31: 10.9N 110.9E @ 95kph].
SUNDAY MORNING:  At near-Typhoon strength as it bears down the coast of Southeastern Vietnam [8AM APR 01: 11.2N 109.5E @ 100kph].


Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across some portions of Spratly Islands. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ light to moderate winds (<44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD PAKHAR (02W)

JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0212.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3 days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: PAKHAR's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

For the complete details on TD PAKHAR (02W)...go visit our website @:


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