for Thursday, 06 August 2009 [12:16 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):
T2K SMS Alerts currently offline due to major server problem...tech engineers are currently fixing the problem. Meanwhile, the other services (Web & Email) remains running - issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TYPHOON MORAKOT (KIKO).
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 010
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #010
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) still heading on a westerly track towards Yaeyama Islands and Northern Taiwan...PAGASA's Storm Warning Signal Number 1 now raised over Batanes Group of Islands.
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue on its westerly track and shall intensify more reaching Category 4 status w/ 215-kph winds as it passes very close to the south of Yaeyama Islands early tomorrow morning. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system reaching turning slightly WNW before hitting Northeastern Taiwan tomorrow evening (approx 7-8PM). The core (eye & eyewall) shall pass very close or over Metro Taipei around midnight on Saturday Aug 8 before moving into Taiwan Strait and making its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by Sunday morning, Aug 9. This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the continued development of its cloud-filled eye while traversing the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands spreading across Okinawa and Taiwan...with its inner (rain) bands now moving across Yaeyama Islands - Increasing winds of not more than 100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and 30-60 kph winds w/ occasional squalls along its outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Okinawa-Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands and Eastern Taiwan today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON-BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu August 06 2009
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 126.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 385 km (208 nm) SSW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 545 km (295 nm) ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 3: 575 km (310 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 590 km (318 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 835 km (450 nm) ESE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,200 km (650 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 23.4N 125.5E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / W @ 19 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Currently OFFLINE...Please bear with us.
Our technical engineers are fixing the problem
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):
T2K SMS Alerts currently offline due to major server problem...tech engineers are currently fixing the problem. Meanwhile, the other services (Web & Email) remains running - issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TYPHOON MORAKOT (KIKO).
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 010
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #010
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue on its westerly track and shall intensify more reaching Category 4 status w/ 215-kph winds as it passes very close to the south of Yaeyama Islands early tomorrow morning. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system reaching turning slightly WNW before hitting Northeastern Taiwan tomorrow evening (approx 7-8PM). The core (eye & eyewall) shall pass very close or over Metro Taipei around midnight on Saturday Aug 8 before moving into Taiwan Strait and making its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by Sunday morning, Aug 9. This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the continued development of its cloud-filled eye while traversing the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands spreading across Okinawa and Taiwan...with its inner (rain) bands now moving across Yaeyama Islands - Increasing winds of not more than 100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and 30-60 kph winds w/ occasional squalls along its outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON-BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu August 06 2009
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 126.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 385 km (208 nm) SSW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 545 km (295 nm) ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 3: 575 km (310 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 590 km (318 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 835 km (450 nm) ESE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,200 km (650 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 23 ft (7.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides..
8 PM (12 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 23.4N 125.5E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / W @ 19 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.7N 123.3E / 215-260 KPH (Category 4) / NW @ 17 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 25.4N 120.7E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / NW @ 07 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 25.4N 120.7E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / NW @ 07 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 26.4N 119.3E / 100-130 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NW @ 09 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 23.1N 128.0E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 09W (MORAKOT) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED
TO THE NORTH. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION
WRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 052137Z
37 GHZ SSMI IMAGE INDICATES A MICROWAVE EYE DEVELOPING WITH DEEPEST
CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
INDICATES WELL ESTABLISHED RADIAL OUTFLOW IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW
INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES, ENABLING THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY
THROUGHOUT THE DAY TO TYPHOON STRENGTH. CONFIDENCE IN POSITION AND
INTENSITY ESTIMATES, BASED ON FIXES FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD, IS
FAIR. THE VAST 34-KNOT WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM VARIES
FROM 120 NM ON THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT TO 200 NM ON THE NORTHWEST
QUADRANT. THIS IS VERIFIED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM RODN WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 36 KNOTS, 213 NM AWAY FROM
THE LLCC. WINDS ALSO VERIFY WITH DROPSONDE OBSERVATIONS FROM TAIWAN
DOTSTAR AIRCRAFT...(more)
>> MORAKOT, meaning: Emerald. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 23.5N 127.9E / WNW @ 19 kph / 130 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY MORAKOT (KIKO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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