Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS MORAKOT (KIKO)

for Saturday, 08 August 2009 [1:03 PM PST]

<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on KIKO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TYPHOON MORAKOT (KIKO).

MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 95 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 014
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 08 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #018
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm MORAKOT (KIKO) now off Taiwan Strait...continues to weaken. Stormy weather still prevailing across Taiwan and Southeastern China.

*Residents and visitors along Southeastern & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to track NW towards Southeastern China. Landfall over Fujian Province is expected tonight...shall dissipate tomorrow.

+ Effects: MORAKOT's weakening circulation continues to affect SE China and Taiwan. The storm's inner (rain) bands spreading across much of Taiwan Strait, Taiwan, Yaeyama Islands and Fujian Province, China...with its outer (feeder) bands over rest of SE China and Extreme Northern Luzon and the Ryukyu-Okinawa Islands. Very heavy rains w/ extreme winds of more than 100 kph can be expected near its center...while violent winds of 60-100 kph w/ moderate to heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands. On the outer bands, moderate to strong winds of 30-60 kph w/ occasional rains, squalls can be expected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT and along mountain slopes on where the core is expected to pass. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Southeastern China today. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with some few passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, CENTRAL & NORTHERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat August 08 2009
Location of Center: 24.8º N Lat 120.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 145 km (78 nm) West of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 2: 170 km (92 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 3: 510 km (277 nm) NNW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph (50 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph (65 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 meters]
Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 09 kph (05 kts)
General Direction: SE China
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 21 ft (6.4 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sat Aug 08
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sat Aug 08
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 11 AM Sat Aug 08
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.

JTWC 12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

8 PM (12 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 25.4N 124.0E / 95-120 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NW @ 11 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 26.4N 119.2E / 75-95 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NW @ 11 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 27.4N 118.4E / 35-55 KPH (Tropical Disturbance / LPA) / .. @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 08 AUGUST POSITION: 24.5N 120.9E.
^THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER TAIWAN AND
IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT CROSSES THE TAIWAN STRAIT
BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN CHINA AND DISSIPATING...(more)

>> MORAKOT, meaning: Emerald. Name contributed by: Thailand.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 AM (02 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 24.7N 121.2E / NW @ 9 kph / 130 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS MORAKOT (KIKO/09W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm