Saturday, June 07, 2008

T2K Philippine Tropical Outlook [for week June 9-15, 2008]


Typhoon2000 Philippine Tropical Outlook
For Week: JUNE 09-15, 2008 [MONDAY TO SUNDAY] 
Issued: 8:00 AM MANILA TIME (00:00 GMT) SAT 07 JUNE 2008
Next Update: 8:00 AM (00:00 GMT) SAT 14 JUNE

[1] A continued chance of below-average rainfall across The Philippines.
Dry conditions are expected due to the prevailing weak phase of Madden-Julian
Oscillation (MJO). Numerical Global Forecast also depicts this kind of situation.
Confidence: MODERATE.

[2] Tropical Cyclone Formation over the South China Sea, Philippine Sea &
Northwest Pacific Ocean is not expected within the week.
Atmospheric factors
including descending air masses & weak MJO phase over the region remains
unfavorable for Tropical Cyclone development.
Confidence: HIGH.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above weekly tropical forecast outlook, does
not guarantee 100% accuracy! Errors & changes can happen 
within the designated outlook week.

> This outlook is issued for planners every Saturday except during
  presence of Tropical Cyclones within the Philippine Area of Res-
  ponsibility (PAR).

> The next outlook will 
be issued on Saturday, June 14, 2008.

Sources: NOAA Global Benefits/Hazards Assessment & Various Numerical Computer Models
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

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