Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Typhoon KONG-REY (01W) - Update #07


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007 
Name: TYPHOON KONG-REY [01W/0701] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 04 APRIL 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) WED 04 APRIL 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #014
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON KONG-REY (01W) GAINED MORE STRENGTH AS IT TURNS
TOWARDS THE NORTH...AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KONG-REY is expected to start recurving
NE'ly within the next 12 to 24 hours & shall be absorbed
into the prevailing Westerlies to the North and dissipate
on Friday (Apr 6)


+ EFFECTS: KONG-REY's Southeastern & Southern outer bands
continues to affect the northernmost Mariana Islands in-
cluding Agrihan bringing scattered rains & winds not in
excess of 60 km/hr today. The core of Kong-Rey (eye+eyewall)
had passed to the north of Saipan, between 7-8 AM HK time
yesterday morning (Apr 3). Coastal Storm Surge flooding of
4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large
and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and
to the north of Kong-Rey's projected path
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 04 APRIL
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 144.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 510 KM (275 NM) NNW OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 2: 690 KM (373 NM) NNW OF HAGATNA, GUAM
DISTANCE 3: 2,320 KM (1,253 NM) ESE OF BATANES GROUP, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY 2
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM PST WED APRIL 04
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 APR: 21.6N 144.5E / 160-195 KPH / NE @ 31 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 APR: 24.0N 147.2E / 120-150 KPH / NE @ 38 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 04 APRIL POSITION: 18.9N 144.1E.
^ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE AND THAT A 17 KM
EYE IS PRESENT. A 6PM APR 3 SSMIS IMAGE CLEARLY DEPICTS THE
EYE SURROUNDED BY DEEP CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE FOR-
WARD MOTION OF THE STORM HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. TY KONG-REY CONTINUES
TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. THE SYSTEM
HAS BEGUN TO TRACK INCREASINGLY POLEWARD OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO, BEFORE TURNING SHARPLY
NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATING AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH
THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES BY 24 HOURS. THE WESTERLIES ARE
ENHANCED IN FRONT OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
THAT IS DEEPENING AND SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD..
.(more info)

>> KONG-REY {pronounced: tra~mee}, meaning: Pretty girl in Khmer 
   legend / The name of mountain. Name contributed by: Cambodia.


_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY KONG-REY (01W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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