Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TYPHOON KONG-REY [01W/0701]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 02 APRIL 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 03 APRIL 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 03 APRIL 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #007
_______________________________________________________________________
KONG-REY (01W) BECOMES THE FIRST TYPHOON OF THE 2007
SEASON...CHANGED ITS COURSE, SPARING GUAM & SAIPAN
SEASON...CHANGED ITS COURSE, SPARING GUAM & SAIPAN
ON A DIRECT HIT.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KONG-REY is expected to resume its NW'ly track and shall pass about 85 km. to the NE of Saipan early
tomorrow morning, around 4 AM HK Time - moving across the
northernmost islands of the Marianas that includes Agrihan
the whole day tomorrow. The 24-hr to 4-day medium to long-
range forecast (Apr 03-06) shows the system turning north-
ward and recurving NE'ly and shall start weakening over
the open waters of the Western Pacific due to increasing
upper-level winds (wind shear) north of the Marianas.
+ EFFECTS: KONG-REY is an average-sized system with its
western outer bands currently affecting the Northern Ma-
rianas, bringing scattered rains & winds not in excess
of 60 km/hr. The inner (rain) bands are expected to reach
Saipan-Agrihan area early tomorrow morning. Typhoon con-
ditions can be expected over Saipan-Tinian Islands early
tomorrow morning (Tue Apr 3) & the rest of the northern-
most Mariana Islands including Agrihan by tomorrow after-
noon through the evening. Coastal Storm Surge flooding
of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with
large and dangerous battering waves can be expected
near and to the north of KONG-REY's projected path.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 02 APRIL
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 13.8º N...LONGITUDE 148.0º E {SATFIX}
DISTANCE 1: 350 KM (190 NM) ENE OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 2: 290 KM (158 NM) ESE OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 2,560 KM (1,380 NM) EAST OF CATANDUANES IS., PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY 1
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 28 KM/HR (15 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SAIPAN-AGRIHAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 22 FEET (6.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST MON APRIL 02
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 APR: 15.3N 146.7E / 140-165 KPH / NNW @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 03 APR: 17.4N 145.6E / 160-195 KPH / NNW @ 19 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 02 APRIL POSITION: 13.4N 148.9E.
^RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANI-
ZATION AS WELL AS ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIR-
CULATION CENTER (LLCC). TS KONG-REY CONTINUES TO TRACK ON
THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH-
EAST. THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS, WHEN AN
APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN CHINA
WILL BREAK DOWN THE STEERING RIDGE AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO
SLOW AND THEN TURN POLEWARD...(more info)
>> KONG-REY {pronounced: tra~mee}, meaning: Pretty girl in Khmer
legend / The name of mountain. Name contributed by: Cambodia.
____________
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY KONG-REY (01W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY KONG-REY (01W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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