Monday, April 02, 2007

TS KONG-REY (01W) - Update #03


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003 
Name: TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY [01W/0701] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 02 APRIL 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 02 APRIL 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (01W) NEARS TYPHOON STRENGTH AS IT
JOGS TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST, CLOSER TO GUAM-SAIPAN AREA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KONG-REY is expected to continue moving
NW becoming a minimal typhoon this afternoon and shall pass
directly or very close to Saipan (approx 200 km NNE of Guam)
tomorrow noontime (Tue Apr 3). The 2 to 5-day long-range
forecast (Apr 04-07) shows the system turning northward,
recurving NE'ly and start weakening over the open waters
of the Western Pacific due to increasing upper-level
winds (wind shear) north of the Marianas
. 

+ EFFECTS: KONG-REY is an average-sized system with its
outer bands now affecting the Marianas, bringing widespread
rains & winds not in excess of 60 km/hr. The inner (rain)
bands are expected to reach Guam-Tinian-Saipan tonight.
Typhoon conditions can be expected over the area early
tomorrow morning (Tue Apr 3) as the system moves closer.
High surf and large waves will continue to affect the
coastal areas of the Marianas
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 02 APRIL
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 11.2º N...LONGITUDE 150.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 645 KM (350 NM) ESE OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 2: 665 KM (360 NM) SE OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 1,360 KM (735 NM) ENE OF COLONIA, YAP, FSM
DISTANCE 4: 2,715 KM (1,465 NM) EAST OF SAMAR, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 110 KM/HR (60 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 980 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: GUAM-TINIAN-SAIPAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM PST MON APRIL 02
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 APR: 12.2N 149.0E / 130-160 KPH / NW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 APR: 13.7N 147.2E / 150-185 KPH / NW @ 24 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 APRIL POSITION: 10.9N 150.7E.
^RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANI-
ZATION AS WELL AS ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIR-
CULATION CENTER (LLCC). TS KONG-REY CONTINUES TO TRACK ON
THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE LOCATED TO ITS NORTH-
EAST. THIS TRACK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS, WHEN AN
APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN CHINA
WILL BREAK DOWN THE STEERING RIDGE AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO
SLOW AND THEN TURN POLEWARD..
.(more info)

>> KONG-REY {pronounced: tra~mee}, meaning: Pretty girl in Khmer 
   legend / The name of mountain. Name contributed by: Cambodia.


_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS KONG-REY (01W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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