Bushman's Typhoon Blog: XT TORAJI (15W) Final Update

for Wednesday, 04 September 2013 [3:38 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TORAJI (15W) UPDATE NUMBER 005 [FINAL]
Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Wednesday 04 September 2013

Tropical Storm TORAJI (15W) becomes an Extratropical (Middle Latitude) Cyclone [XT] as it accelerates across Shikoku and Honshu (Japan). Inclement weather will continue along the path of this system.

*This is the last and final update on Toraji (15W).

Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 11:00 am today, the center of TS Toraji (15W) was located over Southwestern Shikoku...about 85 km southwest of Kochi, Japan or 160 km south-southeast of Hiroshima, Japan...currently moving northeast with a forward speed of 28 km/hr towards Eastern Shikoku and Honshu Area.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to 65 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-85 km/hr) extend outward up to 55 kilometers from the center. Toraji (15W) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 400 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Toraji is estimated to be extreme (450 mm).

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

XT Toraji (15W) is expected to continue moving generally northeastward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Toraji (15W) will be over the central part of Honshu on Thursday morning.

XT Toraji (15W) will continue to lose strength during the next 24 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute sustained winds decreasing to just 55 km/hr on Thursday.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

THURSDAY MORNING: Moving across the central part of Honshu...continues to weaken...about 105 km WNW of Tokyo, Japan [11AM SEP 05: 36.0N 138.6E @ 55kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

INNER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-95 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Western Shikoku.
OUTER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Eastern Kyushu, Western Honshu and rest of Shikoku (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 450 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas near the center of Toraji (15W).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Wed Sep 04, 2013
Class/Name: XT Toraji (15W)
Location of Center: Near 33.0º N Lat 132.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 85 km SW of Kochi, Japan
Distance 2: 160 km SSE of Hiroshima, Japan
Distance 3: 280 km E of Nagasaki, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph
Present Movement: NE @ 28 kph
Towards: Shikoku-Honshu Area
24hr Rainfall Accum (Near the Center): Extreme [450 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 400 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on XT TORAJI (15W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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