Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Typhoon NIDA (CARINA) Update Number 012


Typhoon NIDA (CARINA) Update Number 012

Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday 01 August 2016
Next Update: Tuesday Morning, 02 August 2016       


Current Status

NIDA (CARINA) has strengthened into a Typhoon while traversing the warm waters of Northern South China Sea.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) that will bring on and off, light to moderate to at times heavy rains over the western sections of Southern Luzon andVisayas especially along the western coastal areas for the next 24 hours.

Where is NIDA  (Carina)?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Aug 01...0900 GMT.  The center was located over the northern part of the South China Sea (near 21.6N 117.0E), about 520 km northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte or 311 km east-southeast of Hong Kong, China.


How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 120 kph near the center...Gustiness: 150 kph


Where is it heading?

West-northwest @ 25 kph, towards Southeastern China


What areas will be mostly affected?

Hong Kong and the rest of the central-southern part of Guandong Province, China – beginning tonight Monday (Aug 01).


Storm Surge Info



2-Day Forecast Outlook

TY NIDA (CARINA) is expected to change its course towards the west-northwest and shall continue to move in this direction throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, NIDA (CARINA) shall make landfall over the central shores of Guandong Province early Tuesday morning (Aug 02), and shall move further inland across Guandong and Guangxi Provinces through Wednesday (Aug 03).

TY NIDA (CARINA) shall weaken significantly as it moves over the landmass of Southeastern China.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it traverses Guandong Province…about 225 km west-northwest of Hong Kong, China [2PM AUG 02: 23.2N 112.1E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates over Guangxi Province…just an area of low pressure…about 423 km north-northeast of Hanoi, Vietnam [2PM AUG 03: 24.6N 107.3 @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.


*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlookchanges every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while thewind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 225 mm [Moderate to Heavy]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 972 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 715 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 130 km from the center.


Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon Aug 01, 2016
Location of Center: Near 21.6
° N Lat 117.0° E Lon
Distance 1: 363 km E of 
Macau, China
Distance 2: 570 km NW of 
Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 3: 535 km WNW of 
Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 532 km NW of 
Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 5: 883 km NNW of Metro Manila


Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph


Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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