Monday, August 01, 2016

Tropical Storm NIDA (CARINA) Update Number 011


Tropical Storm NIDA (CARINA) Update Number 011

Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday 01 August 2016
Next Update: Monday Evening, 01 August 2016       


Current Status

NIDA (CARINA) has maintained its strength over the past six hours and is now about to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) via the northwestern border. Its outer rainbands will continue to bring moderate to heavy rains across Northwestern Luzon particularly the Ilocos Provinces until this evening.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) that will bring on and off, light to moderate to at times heavy rains over the western sections of Southern Luzon andVisayas especially along the coastal areas for the next few days.

Where is NIDA  (Carina)?

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, Aug 01...2100 GMT.  The center was located over the northern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 19.9N 119.3E), about 216 km northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte or 233 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte.


How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 110 kph near the center...Gustiness: 140 kph


Where is it heading?

West-northwest @ 24 kph, towards the northern part of the South China Sea.


What areas are currently affected?

Northwestern Luzon particularly Ilocos Provinces –until tonight Monday (Aug 01).


Storm Surge Info



2-Day Forecast Outlook

TS NIDA (CARINA) is expected to move west-northwest throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, NIDA (CARINA) shall cross the northern part of the South China Sea today on its way to Southeastern China. It shall make its second landfall over the central coast of Guandong Province, China by Tuesday early morning (Aug 02).

TS NIDA (CARINA) is expected to intensify within the next 12 to 24 hours reaching typhoon intensity while traversing the South China Sea.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes a Typhoon as it is about to make its second landfall over GuandongProvince…about 98 km east-southeast of Hong Kong, China [2AM AUG 02: 21.9N 114.9E @ 140kph].Confidence Level: HIGH.

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm over Southeastern China...about 432 km west-northwest of Macau, China [2AM AUG 03: 24.0N 109.8E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipating over Southern China...just an area of low pressure…about 424 km northwest of Hanoi, Vietnam [2AM AUG 04: 24.3N 103.7E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlookchanges every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while thewind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 250 mm [Moderate to Heavy]

Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 800 km (Medium)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center.


Additional Distances

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Aug 01, 2016
Location of Center: Near 19.9
° N Lat 119.3° E Lon
Distance 1: 300 km NW of 
Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 282 km NNW of 
Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 3: 289 km WSW of 
Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 360 km NW of 
Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 613 km NNW of Metro Manila


Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

Save time and get your email on the go with the Yahoo Mail app
Get the beautifully designed, lighting fast, and easy-to-use Yahoo Mail today. Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.



No comments: