for Wednesday, 13 November 2013 [9:34 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (ZORAIDA) UPDATE NUMBER 009 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 13 November 2013
Tropical Depression (TD) [ZORAIDA] has maintained its strength during the past 12 hours as it moves away from the country towards the South China Sea...no longer expected to gain strength.
*This is the last and final update on Zoraida.
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 pm today, the center of TD Zoraida was located over the West Philippine Sea...about 205 km northwest of Puerto Princesa, Palawan or 255 km west-southwest of El Nido, Palawan...currently moving west-northwest with a forward speed of 26 km/hr towards the South China Sea.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain at 45 km/hr near the center with higher gusts.
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TD Zoraida is expected to move west-northwest during the next 24 hours then turns west through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD Zoraida will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday early morning, passing north of Pagasa Island towards Vietnam. By Friday afternoon, Zoraida will be just off the coast of Southeastern Vietnam.
TD Zoraida is expected to maintain its strength within the next 24 hours and will weaken into an area of low pressure through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 km/hr by Friday afternoon.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its strength as it moves across the South China Sea...about 135 km WNW of Pagasa Island, Spratlys [2PM NOV 14: 11.4N 113.1E @ 45kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into an area of low pressure...just off the coast of Southeastern Vietnam...about 115 km SSE of Nha Trang, Vietnam [2PM NOV 15: 11.2N 109.5E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
LOOSE RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Southern West Philippine Sea (click here to know more about Rainbands).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Nov 13, 2013
Class/Name: TD (Zoraida)
Location of Center: Near 11.0º N Lat 117.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 215 km WNW of San Vicente, Palawan
Distance 2: 230 km W of Taytay, Palawan
Distance 3: 205 km NW of Puerto Princesa
Distance 4: 395 km W of Cuyo Island
Distance 5: 255 km WSW of El Nido, Palawan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph
Present Movement: WNW @ 26 kph
Towards: South China Sea
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 90W (ZORAIDA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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