Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI [04W/0704]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 09 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 09 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 09 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
_______________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI {pronounced as "Mun-yi"} (04W) JUST
PASSED OVER FARAULEP ISLAND A FEW HOURS AGO, NOW HEADING
TOWARDS YAP-ULITHI AREA.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: MAN-YI is expected to intensify under PASSED OVER FARAULEP ISLAND A FEW HOURS AGO, NOW HEADING
TOWARDS YAP-ULITHI AREA.
favorable atmospheric conditions in the coming hours. This
storm shall move in a generally steady WNW to NW'ly track
for the next 3 to 4 days. It shall be passing about 315
km to the NE of Yap Island early tomorrow morning, July
10. Majority of the computer forecast models continues to
show a Taiwan-Okinawa trajectory sometime July 13-14. Based
on its current speed, MAN-YI is forecast to enter the Phili-
ppine Area of Responsibility (PAR) around Wednesday morning,
July 11 as a 150-km/hr Cat 1 Typhoon.
+ EFFECTS: MAN-YI's large circulation continues engulf the
whole Micronesia & Marianas with its outer cloud bands rea-
ching as far as Saipan to the North, Palau to the West &
Chuuk to the East. Moderate to heavy rains w/ some gale-
force winds associated by this storm is possible today.
+ MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: The advance 3 to 5-day long-
range forecast suggests a surge of moderate to strong South-
west (SW) Monsoon which is likely to affect the Philippines
sometime July 12-14 (Thu-Sat) due to the passage of MAN-YI
over the Philippine Sea, which is expected to enhance the
Monsoon system.. Cloudy skies with intermittent passing
rains or thunderstorms can be expected across the country
w/ SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or higher, becoming more intense
along Western Luzon & Western Visayas including Metro
Manila. Stay tuned for more Monsoon updates in the
coming days.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (90W/
LPA/1008 MB) over the South China Sea has dissipated due
to unfavorable atmospheric conditions over the area.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 09 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 8.8º N...LONGITUDE 143.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 530 KM (285 NM) SSW OF HAGATNA, GUAM
DISTANCE 2: 600 KM (325 NM) ESE OF COLONIA, YAP IS.
DISTANCE 3: 1,005 KM (542 NM) ENE OF PALAU
DISTANCE 4: 2,160 KM (1,165 NM) ESE OF BICOL REGION, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 997 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: YAP-ULITHI ISLANDS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 670 KM (360 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT MON JULY 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 JULY: 9.9N 142.2E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 JULY: 11.2N 140.5E / 100-130 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 09 JULY POSITION: 8.4N 144.0E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) MAN-YI HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY
OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS, AND HAS REMAINED A TRO-
PICAL STORM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULA-
TION CENTER (LLCC) AND A MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES IM-
PROVED BANDING IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE
STORM...(more info)
>> MAN-YI {pronounced: mun~yi}, meaning: Name of a strait ori-
ginally. With the construction of a dam, that part of the
sea has become a reservoir. Name contributed by: Hong Kong.
____________
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS MAN-YI (04W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS MAN-YI (04W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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