Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Typhoon NIDA (26W) - Update #010

 


for Wednesday, 25 November 2009 [11:23 AM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 23 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY NIDA (27W).


NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 kph

TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 010

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Wed 25 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #013 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Typhoon NIDA (26W) continues to rapidly intensify...reaches Category 3...currently displaying a well-defined 30-km diameter round eye.

    *Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Wed Nov 25 2009
    Location of Eye: 11.4º N Lat 143.2º E Lon
    Distance 1: 280 km (150 nm) SSW of Guam, CNMI
    Distance 2: 595 km (320 nm) ENE of Yap, FSM
    Distance 3: 895 km (485 nm) East of P.A.R.
    Distance 4: 1,920 km (1,037 nm) East of Visayas, PH
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    185 kph (100 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 230 kph (90 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
    Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 3
    Present Movement: NNW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
    Towards: Western Micronesia
    Size (in Diameter): 740 km (400 nm) / Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 21 ft (6.4 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 9-12 feet [2.7-3.9 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public):
    8 AM PST Wed Nov 25

    + Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue moving NW to NNW-ward for the next 5 days as it intensifies. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system becoming a Category 4 Typhoon by tomorrow morning (8AM Nov 26: 13.9N 141.2E) w/ winds of 215 kph and will reach its maximum peak strength of 230 kph on Friday morning (8AM Nov 27: 16.3N 139.3E)...while about 1,810 km East of Northern Luzon. NIDA will start to slow down and lose strength beginning Saturday through Monday, as cool & dry air from the surge of Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) enters its warm & moist circulation (8AM Nov 28: 17.6N 138.2E...8AM Nov 29: 18.8N 137.6E...8AM Nov 30: 20.0N 137.2E). Based on this forecast, this system is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not yet affecting any major islands at this time, however, its western outer rainbands continues to spread across Ulithi and Yap Islands (Western Micronesia). 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links for TY NIDA (27W)

    View NOAA-CIRA's
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
    wp2609.gif
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 12.4N 142.5E / 195-240 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NW @ 19 KPH 
    8 AM (00 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 13.9N 141.2E / 215-260 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NW @ 15 KPH 
    8 AM (00 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.3N 139.3E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NW @ 07 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 17.6N 138.2E / 205-250 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NNW @ 05 KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) WED 25 NOVEMBER POSITION: 10.7N 143.8E.

    *TYPHOON (TY) 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-
    SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
    THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
    241956Z SSMIS IMAGE INDICATE RAPID INTENSIFICATION (25 KNOTS IN
    06 HOURS) WITH A CONTRACTING EYE (CURRENTLY 12 NM) WITH A BANDING
    FEATURE OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
    INDICATES RADIAL OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN ANTICYCLONE LOCATED
    DIRECTLY OVER THE LLCC, WHICH IS FURTHER ENHANCED BY AN UPPER
    LEVEL LOW TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
    IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE
    IN THE CURRENT POSITION AND MOTION BASED ON THE EYE FIXES AND
    RADAR IMAGERY FROM GUAM..
    (
    more)

    >> NIDA, meaning: Name of womanName contributed by: Thailand.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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