Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Typhoon NIDA (26W) - Update #008

 


for Tuesday, 24 November 2009 [6:09 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 23 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY NIDA (27W).


NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 kph

TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 008

6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 24 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #010 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • NIDA (26W) rapidly strengthens and becomes a Typhoon...still moving very slowly.

    *Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue November 24 2009
    Location of Center: 9.2º N Lat 145.4º E Lon
    Distance 1: 470 km (255 nm) South of Guam, CNMI
    Distance 2: 800 km (432 nm) East of Yap, FSM
    Distance 3: 2,100 km (1,135 nm) East of Northern Mindanao
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    120 kph (65 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm
    Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
    Present Movement: NW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
    Towards: Southern Marianas
    Size (in Diameter): 425 km (230 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public):
    2 PM PST Tue Nov 24

    + Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to begin moving WNW for the next 12 hours and will intensify further. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system turning NW'ly, reaching Category 2 strength by tomorrow afternoon (2pm Nov 25: 10.8N 142.8E). It will maintain its NW track throughout the forecast period...becoming a Category 3 Typhoon on Thursday afternoon w/ winds of 185 kph (2pm Nov 26: 13.9N 140.2E). NIDA will reach its maximum threshold at Category 4 (215 kph) on Sunday afternoon (2PM Nov 29: 19.2N 136.9E)...about 1,540 km East of Extreme Northern Luzon. Based on this forecast, this system is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not yet affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 180 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links for TY NIDA (27W)

    View NOAA-CIRA's
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
    wp2609.gif
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop


  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 AM (18 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 9.4N 144.3E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / NW @ 19 KPH 
    2 PM (06 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 10.8N 142.8E / 160-195 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NW @ 19 KPH 
    2 PM (06 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 13.9N 140.2E / 185-230 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NW @ 15 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.3N 138.3E / 195-240 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NNW @ 07 KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) TUE 24 NOVEMBER POSITION: 8.7N 145.5E.

    *ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASE IN
    OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER
    THE PAST SIX HOURS. DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING ON THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
    NIDA REMAINS THE STRONGEST REGION OF CONVECTION BUT BANDING HAS
    CONTINUED TO DEVELOP IN ALL QUADRANTS. A RECENT 240334Z AMSU-B
    MICROWAVE IMAGE SUPPORTS THE RECENT INCREASE IN INTENSITY TO TYPHOON
    STRENGTH AS THE EYE FEATURE NOTED IN THE LATEST PROGNOSTIC REASONING
    MESSAGE, HAS BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO
    BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK, AND A POSSIBLE
    RECURVATURE SCENARIO BEYOND THE CURRENTLY FORECASTED POSITIONS. THE
    UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
    FAVORABLE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO
    INCREASE THROUGH 120 HOURS...
    (
    more)

    >> NIDA, meaning: Name of womanName contributed by: Thailand.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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