for Tuesday, 24 November 2009 [6:34 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 23 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TD URDUJA (27W). Meanwhile, our SMS Updates for SMART (216) is currently OFFLINE due to technical problems. Synermaxx and SMART engineers are now fixing the problem which started a few days ago. Please bear with us.
URDUJA (27W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION URDUJA [27W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:30 AM PST (22:30 GMT) Tue 24 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis & JTWC Warning #02/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression URDUJA (27W) enters the Gulf of Leyte as it tracks slowly WNW. Heavy rainbands spreading across Northern Mindanao and Visayas.
*Residents and visitors along Eastern and Central Visayas should closely monitor the progress of URDUJA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue November 24 2009
Location of Center: 10.1º N Lat 125.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km (25 nm) NE of Surigao City
Distance 2: 160 km (85 nm) SSE of Tacloban City
Distance 3: 165 km (90 nm) SE of Ormoc City
Distance 4: 210 km (113 nm) ESE of Cebu City
Distance 5: 225 km (122 nm) ENE of Tagbilaran City
Distance 6: 320 km (173 nm) ESE of Bacolod City
Distance 7: 345 km (185 nm) SE of Masbate City
Distance 8: 355 km (190 nm) ESE of Iloilo City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: WNW @ 09 kph (05 kts)
Towards: Leyte Gulf
Size (in Diameter): 250 km (135 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft (3.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
+ Forecast Outlook: URDUJA is expected to slow down and will remain quasi-stationary for the next 12 to 24 hours as it interacts to the much stronger TS NIDA (26W), located South of Guam. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system undergoing a counter-clockwise loop passing over Northeastern Mindanao tomorrow (2PM Nov 25: 9.2N 125.5E)..and will exit off the east coast of Surigao del Sur as a minimal Tropical Storm on Thursday morning (2AM Nov 26: 8.9N 126.1E). URDUJA will start tracking ENE to NE-ward towards NIDA (26W) starting Friday [2AM Nov 27: 9.1N 127.4E) and strengthen into a 85-kph tropical storm. This forecast outlook remains poor in predicting the future path of URDUJA...various computer guidance model are having a hard time positioning this system. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: URDUJA's rainbands has been sheared to the west and continues to dump scattered to widespread rains across Northern Mindanao and the whole of the Visayas. Rainfall amounts of up to 200 mm (heavy rains) can be expected within the heavy rainbands of this depression. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: MASBATE, ROMBLON, EASTERN SAMAR, WESTERN SAMAR, BILIRAN, LEYTE, CEBU, CAMOTES IS., BOHOL, NEGROS, AKLAN, CAPIZ, ANTIQUE, ILOILO, GUIMARAS, BORACAY, CAMIGUIN, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, SURIGAO PROVINCES, DINAGAT AND SIARGAO ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas which are under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
External Links for TD URDUJA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp9309.gif
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 NOVEMBER: 10.0N 125.5E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / SW @ 04 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts on URDUJA!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | Offline (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 23 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TD URDUJA (27W). Meanwhile, our SMS Updates for SMART (216) is currently OFFLINE due to technical problems. Synermaxx and SMART engineers are now fixing the problem which started a few days ago. Please bear with us.
URDUJA (27W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION URDUJA [27W]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:30 AM PST (22:30 GMT) Tue 24 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis & JTWC Warning #02/SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Eastern and Central Visayas should closely monitor the progress of URDUJA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Tue November 24 2009
Location of Center: 10.1º N Lat 125.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km (25 nm) NE of Surigao City
Distance 2: 160 km (85 nm) SSE of Tacloban City
Distance 3: 165 km (90 nm) SE of Ormoc City
Distance 4: 210 km (113 nm) ESE of Cebu City
Distance 5: 225 km (122 nm) ENE of Tagbilaran City
Distance 6: 320 km (173 nm) ESE of Bacolod City
Distance 7: 345 km (185 nm) SE of Masbate City
Distance 8: 355 km (190 nm) ESE of Iloilo City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 180 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Present Movement: WNW @ 09 kph (05 kts)
Towards: Leyte Gulf
Size (in Diameter): 250 km (135 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft (3.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
+ Forecast Outlook: URDUJA is expected to slow down and will remain quasi-stationary for the next 12 to 24 hours as it interacts to the much stronger TS NIDA (26W), located South of Guam. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system undergoing a counter-clockwise loop passing over Northeastern Mindanao tomorrow (2PM Nov 25: 9.2N 125.5E)..and will exit off the east coast of Surigao del Sur as a minimal Tropical Storm on Thursday morning (2AM Nov 26: 8.9N 126.1E). URDUJA will start tracking ENE to NE-ward towards NIDA (26W) starting Friday [2AM Nov 27: 9.1N 127.4E) and strengthen into a 85-kph tropical storm. This forecast outlook remains poor in predicting the future path of URDUJA...various computer guidance model are having a hard time positioning this system. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: URDUJA's rainbands has been sheared to the west and continues to dump scattered to widespread rains across Northern Mindanao and the whole of the Visayas. Rainfall amounts of up to 200 mm (heavy rains) can be expected within the heavy rainbands of this depression. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: MASBATE, ROMBLON, EASTERN SAMAR, WESTERN SAMAR, BILIRAN, LEYTE, CEBU, CAMOTES IS., BOHOL, NEGROS, AKLAN, CAPIZ, ANTIQUE, ILOILO, GUIMARAS, BORACAY, CAMIGUIN, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, SURIGAO PROVINCES, DINAGAT AND SIARGAO ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas which are under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
External Links for TD URDUJA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp9309.gif
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 NOVEMBER: 10.0N 125.5E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / SW @ 04 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 9.7N 125.2E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / SSE @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 8.9N 126.1E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / E @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 9.1N 127.4E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / ENE @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 8.9N 126.1E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / E @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 9.1N 127.4E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / ENE @ 07 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) TUE 24 NOVEMBER POSITION: 10.1N 126.0E.
*ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND
AND WEAK TO MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AMSU IMAGE INDICATED
A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THERE IS FAIR
CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON THE PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LLCC
USING LOWER RESOLUTION MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
ASSESSED AS SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN THE DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS (PGTW)
BASED ON THE WEAK BANDING. TD 27W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING EAST-
WARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER TAU 36 AND IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
WITHIN 600NM OF TS 26W AT 120 HRS. THEREFORE, TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT
WITH TS 26W, WHICH WILL DRIVE A CYCLONICALLY-
26W. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS SPARSE BUT SUPPORTS THIS
SCENARIO. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT TRACKS
BACK OVER WATER NEAR TAU 48 AND IS FORECAST TO REACH MINIMAL TS
STRENGTH UNDER MARGINAL CONDITIONS..
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 24 NOVEMBER: 10.4N 125.3E / WNW @ 15 kph / 55 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6-12 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html?storm=27W )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD URDUJA (27W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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