for Sunday, 29 November 2009 [7:18 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 021
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 29 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #028 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) nearly stationary...downgraded to Category 4.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun Nov 29 2009
Location of Eye: 19.3º N Lat 139.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 645 km (348 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 37 ft (11.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun Nov 29
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA's forecast outlook has changed - now depicting the alternate scenario but as a dissipating system. This howler is expected to drift very slowly northward and will start decaying within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm as strong upper-level winds (Vertical Wind Shear) starts to affect the typhoon by early morning Wednesday (2AM Dec 02: 22.2N 141.0E)...about 290 km South of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to rapidly decay - turning more to the West and dissipate to the SSW of Iwo To beginning Thursday until Friday (2AM Dec 03: 22.9N 141.0E...2AM Dec 4: 23.1N 140.3E). There are still some models that forecast the weakening system moving more to the West to WSW into the Philippine Sea due to the strong surge of NE Monsoon (Amihan) approaching from China. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA still over open seas, barely moving. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 19.5N 139.6E / 220-270 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NNE @ 04 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 19.9N 139.8E / 205-250 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NE @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 DECEMBER: 21.0N 140.4E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / NNE @ 05 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 240 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 021
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 29 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #028 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun Nov 29 2009
Location of Eye: 19.3º N Lat 139.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 645 km (348 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 240 kph (130 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 295 kph (160 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 4
Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 37 ft (11.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 13-18 feet [4.0-5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun Nov 29
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA's forecast outlook has changed - now depicting the alternate scenario but as a dissipating system. This howler is expected to drift very slowly northward and will start decaying within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm as strong upper-level winds (Vertical Wind Shear) starts to affect the typhoon by early morning Wednesday (2AM Dec 02: 22.2N 141.0E)...about 290 km South of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to rapidly decay - turning more to the West and dissipate to the SSW of Iwo To beginning Thursday until Friday (2AM Dec 03: 22.9N 141.0E...2AM Dec 4: 23.1N 140.3E). There are still some models that forecast the weakening system moving more to the West to WSW into the Philippine Sea due to the strong surge of NE Monsoon (Amihan) approaching from China. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA still over open seas, barely moving. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 19.5N 139.6E / 220-270 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NNE @ 04 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 19.9N 139.8E / 205-250 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NE @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 DECEMBER: 21.0N 140.4E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / NNE @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 02 DECEMBER: 22.2N 141.0E / 95-120 KPH (TS) / N @ 04 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) SUN 29 NOVEMBER POSITION: 19.2N 139.4E.
*ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SLIGHT WEAKENING OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS AND AN IRREGULAR 20-NM EYE. LATEST TRMM IMAGE, HOWEVER, STILL
SHOWS A ROUND EYE WITH A SYMMETRIC EYEWALL AND IMPROVED CONVECTIVE
BANDING. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE POSITION AND RECENT
ERRATIC, SLOW MOTION BASED ON IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
STILL INDICATES EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH ENHANCED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW INTO THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND RJTD. THIS
FORECAST REFLECTS A SIGNIFICANT FORECAST PHILOSOPHY CHANGE FROM A RE-
CURVE SCENARIO TO A DISSIPATION SCENARIO (IN ACCORDANCE WITH OUR
PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED ALTERNATE SCENARIO). NUMERICAL GUIDANCE REMAINS
IN POOR AGREEMENT, HOWEVER, THE MAJORITY OF AIDS (UKMO, ECMWF, TC-
LAPS, JGSM, NOGAPS) SUPPORT A DISSIPATION SCENARIO WITH GFS, WBAR
AND GFDN STILL INDICATING A RE-CURVE TRACK. THIS FORECAST FAVORS THE
DISSIPATION SCENARIO AND IS BASED ON ANALYSES, WHICH SHOW THE LOW-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) BUILDING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM, THE MID-
LEVEL STEERING RIDGE EAST, AND ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW. THIS
WILL PRODUCE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) THAT WILL SERVE TO
RAPIDLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD, AFTER
36 HOURS. STY 26W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 72
HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN. AFTER 72 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO 25-30 KNOT STRENGTH AND WILL BEGIN TO TRACK UNDER THE LOW-
LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY 120 HOURS....(more)
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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