for Saturday, 28 November 2009 [7:10 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 280 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 018
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #024 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) has regained Category 5 strength due to improved eye appearance (45-km. in diameter) and much stronger eyewall convection...crawling towards the North.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.0º N Lat 139.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 685 km (370 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 430 km (232 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,770 km (955 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 280 kph (150 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 335 kph (180 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 230 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 911 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: North @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 925 km (500 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue on its slow northward track and will start weakening while beginning recurvature within the next 2 days...passing south of Iwo To by early Monday morning (2AM Nov 30: 22.3N 141.7E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the ENE by early Tuesday morning (2AM Dec 01: 24.9N 145.3E)...about 405 km SE of Chichi Jima Island. NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical early Wednesday morning (2AM Dec 02: 28.4N 152.6E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8PM last night (Nov 27), predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West to SW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is possible in the coming days. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA is now over open seas...not affecting any major islands. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 230 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 19.5N 139.1E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNE @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.3N 139.5E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 22.3N 141.7E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 19 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 280 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 018
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #024 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.0º N Lat 139.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 685 km (370 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 430 km (232 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,770 km (955 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 280 kph (150 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 335 kph (180 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 230 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 911 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: North @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 925 km (500 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue on its slow northward track and will start weakening while beginning recurvature within the next 2 days...passing south of Iwo To by early Monday morning (2AM Nov 30: 22.3N 141.7E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the ENE by early Tuesday morning (2AM Dec 01: 24.9N 145.3E)...about 405 km SE of Chichi Jima Island. NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical early Wednesday morning (2AM Dec 02: 28.4N 152.6E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8PM last night (Nov 27), predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West to SW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is possible in the coming days. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA is now over open seas...not affecting any major islands. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 230 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 19.5N 139.1E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNE @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.3N 139.5E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 22.3N 141.7E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 DECEMBER: 24.9N 145.3E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / ENE @ 35 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) SAT 28 NOVEMBER POSITION: 18.7N 139.0E.
*ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH A 25 NM EYE AND
IMPROVED EYEWALL CONVECTION. A 271700Z AMSU IMAGE CONTINUES TO
INDICATE THAT STY 26W IS GOING THROUGH AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE.
SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE
SYSTEM HAS SLOWED FORWARD MOTION TO 04 KNOTS WITH TROCHOIDAL MOTION;
STY 26W IS STILL TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWARD. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON THE HIGHER END OF DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 140 (RJTD) TO 155
KNOTS (PGTW). CURRENT ANALYSIS OF 700/500MB DATA SUPPORTS A SLOW
NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE (STR), WHICH IS CURRENTLY ORIENTED TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST
WITH ZONAL MIDALTITUDE WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF 25N. BASED ON THIS
ANALYSIS AND THE CURRENT SLOW MOTION, THE TRACK SPEEDS HAVE BEEN
DECREASED THROUGH 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE
NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 36 HOURS AND TO BEGIN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION
(ETT) NEAR 72 HOURS. TRACK SPEEDS HAVE BEEN REDUCED AT TAU 72/96 TO
REFLECT DE-COUPLING DUE TO VERY STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN
EXCESS OF 60 KNOTS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH JGSM,
ECMWF, UKMO AND GFS INDICATING RAPID WEAKENING AND A SUBSEQUENT
TRACK WESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES
WHILE NOGAPS AND GFDN SUPPORT A RAPID ACCELERATION NORTHEASTWARD.
THE CURRENT FORECAST FAVORS THE RE-CURVE SCENARIO ALTHOUGH THERE
ARE INDICATORS IN THE MAJORITY OF MODELS THAT THE SYSTEM MAY WEAKEN
RAPIDLY IN THE NEXT 72 HOURS DUE PRIMARILY TO A STRONG LOW-LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD COMBINED WITH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY
FLOW, WHICH MAY PREVENT THE SYSTEM FROM COMPLETING ITS ETT AND LEAD
TO A DISSIPATION SCENARIO...(more)
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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