for Friday, 27 November 2009 [6:28 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 250 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 015
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 27 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #020 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) turning slightly northward...intensity continues to weaken...just within the Category 5 threshold.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri Nov 27 2009
Location of Eye: 17.0º N Lat 139.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 730 km (395 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 435 km (235 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,765 km (953 nm) East of Northern Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 250 kph (135 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 305 kph (165 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 922 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 43 ft (13.1 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Fri Nov 27
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to slow down slightly and weaken further down to Category 4 as it begins recurvature for the the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Category 2 Typhoon and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the ENE by early Monday morning (2AM Nov 30: 24.0N 143.9E)...about 2,265 km East of Taiwan or 280 km ESE of Iwo To (formerly Iwo Jima). NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean by early Monday morning (2AM Nov 30: 27.6N 151.6E) and weaken into a Category 1 Typhoon while it transitions into an Extratropical Cyclone. By early Tuesday morning, NIDA will become Extratropical (2AM Dec 02: 31.4N 161.8E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Only one forecast guidance model, the JGSM predicts NIDA to turn towards the left towards the Philippines on a West to WSW track due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains very poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Partly sunny to cloudy skies & light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 30 kph) with occasional widespread rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 17.5N 138.8E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / N @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 18.6N 138.7E / 240-295 KPH (STY-Cat 4) / NNE @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.7N 139.9E / 215-260 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 22 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 250 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 015
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 27 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #020 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri Nov 27 2009
Location of Eye: 17.0º N Lat 139.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 730 km (395 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 435 km (235 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,765 km (953 nm) East of Northern Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 250 kph (135 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 305 kph (165 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 922 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 43 ft (13.1 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Fri Nov 27
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to slow down slightly and weaken further down to Category 4 as it begins recurvature for the the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Category 2 Typhoon and will begin to enter the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate towards the ENE by early Monday morning (2AM Nov 30: 24.0N 143.9E)...about 2,265 km East of Taiwan or 280 km ESE of Iwo To (formerly Iwo Jima). NIDA will continue to move faster ENE-ward across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean by early Monday morning (2AM Nov 30: 27.6N 151.6E) and weaken into a Category 1 Typhoon while it transitions into an Extratropical Cyclone. By early Tuesday morning, NIDA will become Extratropical (2AM Dec 02: 31.4N 161.8E). Based on this forecast, this system will no longer enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Only one forecast guidance model, the JGSM predicts NIDA to turn towards the left towards the Philippines on a West to WSW track due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains very poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 17.5N 138.8E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / N @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 18.6N 138.7E / 240-295 KPH (STY-Cat 4) / NNE @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.7N 139.9E / 215-260 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 24.0N 143.9E / 165-205 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / ENE @ 37 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) FRI 27 NOVEMBER POSITION: 16.3N 139.3E.
*ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE 20-NM EYE IS BEGINNING TO FILL AND
BECOME MORE ASYMMETRICAL. ADDITIONALLY, THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE STRUC-
TURE HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED WITH THE GREATEST EXTENT OF DEEP
CONVECTION SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. BASED ON
DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD, THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED
SLIGHTLY DOWN TO 135 KNOTS OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS, ALBEIT IT STILL
REMAINS A SUPER TYPHOON. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MESOSCALE
ANTICYCLONE ALOFT CONTINUES TO PROVIDE STRONG RADIAL OUTFLOW. FUR-
THERMORE, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW
AS THE SYSTEM'S NORTHERN PERIPHERY IS NOW GETTING EXPOSED TO THE
STRONG WESTERLIES. STY NIDA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTH-NORTH-
WESTWARD TOWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE IT CRESTS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN ACCELERATING INTO THE MID-LATITUDES.
THE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A RECURVA-
TURE SCENARIO. HOWEVER, THE JGSM SOLUTION CONTINUES TO DEPICT A
WESTWARD TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS AND THE UKMET SOLUTION FAVORS A
QUASI-STATIONARY TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS BEFORE FINALLY RECURVING
THE SYSTEM LEFT OF THE ENVELOPE...(more)
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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