for Thursday, 26 November 2009 [6:20 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #018 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) continues to wane in intensity while slowing down over the Western Pacific Ocean...remains at Category 5, carrying winds of 270 km/hr with higher gusts.
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
Location of Eye: 15.5º N Lat 139.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 575 km (310 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 525 km (283 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,895 km (1,025 nm) East of Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 44 ft (13.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Nov 26
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue losing strength and slow down further as it turns northward within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system weakening to a Category 2 and will begin to recurve sharply towards the NE by Sunday afternoon (2PM Nov 29: 22.2N 140.4E)...about 1,950 km East of Taiwan or 305 km SSW of Iwo To. NIDA will accelerate ENE-ward on Monday (2PM Nov 30: 25.5N 144.7E)...and will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) and lower sea surface temperatures (SSTs) affects its circulation and start transitioning into an Extratropical Cyclone Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 29.8N 153.1E). Based on this forecast, this system is not forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.5N 139.0E / 250-305 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 17.5N 138.5E / 240-295 KPH (STY-Cat 4) / N @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 19.7N 138.6E / 185-230 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NE @ 15 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 014
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #018 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
Location of Eye: 15.5º N Lat 139.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 575 km (310 nm) NW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 525 km (283 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,895 km (1,025 nm) East of Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 315 kph (175 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 44 ft (13.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Nov 26
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to continue losing strength and slow down further as it turns northward within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system weakening to a Category 2 and will begin to recurve sharply towards the NE by Sunday afternoon (2PM Nov 29: 22.2N 140.4E)...about 1,950 km East of Taiwan or 305 km SSW of Iwo To. NIDA will accelerate ENE-ward on Monday (2PM Nov 30: 25.5N 144.7E)...and will be downgraded into a Tropical Storm as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) and lower sea surface temperatures (SSTs) affects its circulation and start transitioning into an Extratropical Cyclone Tuesday afternoon (2PM Dec 01: 29.8N 153.1E). Based on this forecast, this system is not forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.5N 139.0E / 250-305 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 17.5N 138.5E / 240-295 KPH (STY-Cat 4) / N @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 19.7N 138.6E / 185-230 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / NE @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 22.2N 140.4E / 160-195 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 24 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) THU 26 NOVEMBER POSITION: 15.2N 140.0E.
*SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (NIDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THOUGH STY NIDA STILL HAS A WELL-DEFINED 20-NM EYE,
ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUD TOPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP
CONVECTION HAVE STARTED TO WARM AND THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE
HAS BECOME MORE ASYMMETRICAL AS THE GREATEST EXTENT OF DEEP
CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO SHIFT TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER.
ACCORDINGLY, THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF DVORAK
ESTIMATES FROM PGTW (140 KTS) AND RJTD (155 KTS). UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT
WHICH IS PROVIDING STRONG RADIAL OUTFLOW. STY NIDA WILL CONTINUE TO
TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY SLOW IN FORWARD TRACK SPEED AS IT
APPROACHES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AFTER 48 HRS, THE SYSTEM
SHOULD CREST THE RIDGE AXIS AND START TO ACCELERATE INTO THE MID-
LATITUDES WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. BY 120 HRS, STY NIDA IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION..
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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