Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon MIRINAE (SANTI) makes final landfall... [Update #020]

for Monday, 02 November 2009 [5:19 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon November 02 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY MIRINAE (SANTI).

MIRINAE (SANTI) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 100 kph

TYPHOON MIRINAE [SANTI/23W/0921]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 020
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 02 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #030 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

MIRINAE (SANTI) has rapidly re-intensified into a Typhoon and is now making landfall over South-Central Vietnam...High winds, heavy rains and big waves lashing the area.

*Residents and visitors along Vietnam & Cambodia should closely monitor the progress of MIRINAE (SANTI).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MIRINAE is expected to continue moving WSW and will dissipate rapidly...complete dissipation expected within the next 12 to 24 hours along Cambodia. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

+ Effects: MIRINAE's circulation has rapidly intensified prior in making landfall over Vietnam. Its rainbands continues to spread across Eastern and SE Vietnam. Gale to Typhoon Force Winds of up to 120 kph can be expected today. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (heavy to extreme rain) near the center of Mirinae. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon November 02 2009
Location of Eye: 12.8º N Lat 108.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 65 km (35 nm) NNW of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 2: 325 km (175 nm) NE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 3: 375 km (202 nm) SSE of Da Nang, Vietnam
Distance 4: 455 km (245 nm) ENE of Phnom Penh City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Click to view: Mirinae's Latest Wind Analysis new!
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Projected Area of Impact: South-Central Vietnam
Size (in Diameter): 520 km (280 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Mon Nov 02
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 2 PM Mon Nov 02
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Mon Nov 02
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1-day Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

2 AM (18 GMT) 03 NOVEMBER: 12.3N 107.7E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / WSW @ 17 KPH -- LANDFALL

2 PM (06 GMT) 03 NOVEMBER: 11.6N 105.9E / 20-35 KPH (LPA) / --- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) MON 02 NOVEMBER POSITION: 12.9N 109.7E.
*THE CYCLONE HAS RE-INTENSIFIED TO TYPHOON
STRENGTH. THIS INTENSIFICATION IS A DEPARTURE FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST, WHICH REFLECTED STEADY WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM PRIOR TO
MAKING LANDFALL. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 65
KNOTS BASED ON A WEAK EYE-LIKE FEATURE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A WELL-DEFINED MICROWAVE EYE EVIDENT IN A 020003Z SSMIS IMAGE.
AS OF 0600Z DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE CLIMBED TO A 4.0 (65
KNOTS) FROM PGTW. THREE HOURS PRIOR, KNES WAS AS HIGH AS A 5.0 OR 90
KNOTS. THE TYPHOON WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AND WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE NEAR THE VIETNAM-CAMBODIA
BORDER AROUND TAU 12...(more)

>> MIRINAE, meaning: Milky Way. Name contributed by: Korea.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)

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LATEST 6-12 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP): NEW!!!

> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html?storm=TWENTYTHRE)____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY MIRINAE (SANTI)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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