for Saturday, 28 November 2009 [12:40 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 280 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 019
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #025 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extreme Catastrophic Super Typhoon NIDA (26W) has been nearly stationary during the past 3 hours...remains a Category 5 howler w/ 1-minute avg sustained winds of 280 km/hr near its impressive Eye.
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.1º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 675 km (365 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 420 km (227 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,760 km (950 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 280 kph (150 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 335 kph (180 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 911 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NNW @ 02 kph (01 kt)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 835 km (450 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift back slowly northward and will start weakening and start recurving NE-ward within the next 2 days...passing south of Iwo To Monday morning (8AM Nov 30: 22.0N 141.3E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm upon entering the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate slightly ENE-ward on Tuesday morning (8AM Dec 01: 23.7N 143.7E)...about 270 km ESE of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to move ENE across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Wednesday morning (8AM Dec 02: 25.9N 149.4E). Based on this forecast, this system will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). However, constant watch on this system will continue as half of the forecast guidance models showed a track towards the Philippines. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8PM last night (Nov 27), predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West to SW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon (aka. locally as "Amihan") from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is likely if the trend continues. Stay tuned for more info. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA remains over open seas as it continues to show an impressive 44-km. in diameter wide Eye surrounded by intense EyeWall convection. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
8 PM (12 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 19.7N 139.3E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NE @ 07 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.3N 139.8E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 09 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 22.0N 141.3E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 13 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):
We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 280 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 175 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 190 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 200 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 019
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 28 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #025 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat Nov 28 2009
Location of Eye: 19.1º N Lat 139.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 675 km (365 nm) SSW of Iwo To
Distance 2: 420 km (227 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,760 km (950 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 280 kph (150 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 335 kph (180 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 911 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NNW @ 02 kph (01 kt)
Towards: Iwo To-Chichi Jima Islands
Size (in Diameter): 835 km (450 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 34 ft (10.3 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [>5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sat Nov 28
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift back slowly northward and will start weakening and start recurving NE-ward within the next 2 days...passing south of Iwo To Monday morning (8AM Nov 30: 22.0N 141.3E). The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to a Tropical Storm upon entering the mid-latitude westerly windflow (westerlies) & accelerate slightly ENE-ward on Tuesday morning (8AM Dec 01: 23.7N 143.7E)...about 270 km ESE of Iwo To. NIDA will continue to move ENE across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean and become Extratropical by Wednesday morning (8AM Dec 02: 25.9N 149.4E). Based on this forecast, this system will not enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). However, constant watch on this system will continue as half of the forecast guidance models showed a track towards the Philippines. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): The latest UKMO, JGSM, GFS, and ECMWF Extended Forecasts issued at 8PM last night (Nov 27), predicts NIDA to turn towards the left into the Philippine Sea - on a West to SW track due to an approaching surge of NE Monsoon (aka. locally as "Amihan") from the strong High Pressure Area off SE China. This scenario is likely if the trend continues. Stay tuned for more info. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA remains over open seas as it continues to show an impressive 44-km. in diameter wide Eye surrounded by intense EyeWall convection. This howler is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.
+ Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny, clear to cloudy skies with possible passing rains, squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN AND EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, QUEZON, MASBATE, & NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
8 PM (12 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 19.7N 139.3E / 260-315 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NE @ 07 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 20.3N 139.8E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / NE @ 09 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 22.0N 141.3E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NE @ 13 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 01 DECEMBER: 23.7N 143.7E / 95-120 KPH (TS) / ENE @ 26 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) SAT 28 NOVEMBER POSITION: 19.0N 139.1E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 23-NM EYE. A MICRO-
WAVE IMAGE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE (ERC)
WITH CONCENTRIC (DOUBLE) EYEWALLS; THE OUTER EYEWALL HAS CONSOLIDATED
AND CONTRACTED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH IMPROVED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ENHANCED BY MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES.
STY 26W HAS GENERALLY TRACKED NORTHWARD AND SLOWED TO 03 KNOTS WITH
INCREASINGLY ERRATIC, TROCHOIDAL MOTION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON THE HIGHER END OF DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 127 (RJTD, KNES) TO
155 KNOTS (PGTW). THE LATEST 500MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A POLEWARD-ORIENTED,
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) POSITIONED EAST OF THE SYSTEM WITH
MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES NORTH OF 25N; STY 26W IS LOCATED WITHIN A RELA-
TIVELY WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN THE EASTERN, DOMINANT STR
AND THE WESTERN STR, WHICH EXTENDS FROM HAINAN EASTWARD TO ABOUT
130E...(more)
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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