for Thursday, 26 November 2009 [6:39 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed November 25 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 295 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 210 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #016 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Extremely Catastrophic NIDA (26W) is now the most intense Typhoon of 2009. Satellite Dvorak Analysis depicts 1-minute sustained winds of almost 300 km/hr.
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
Location of Eye: 14.3º N Lat 140.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km (240 nm) WNW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 625 km (337 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,780 km (960 nm) East of Bicol Region, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 295 kph (160 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 360 kph (195 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 905 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
Towards: North Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 45 ft (13.7 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Nov 26
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is currently displaying a well-defined 37-km. diameter round eye, surrounded with a very intense eyewall...and is expected to continue moving NW to NNW for the next 2 days and lose strength. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to Category 4 and start to slow down as it begins to recurve towards the NNE by early Sunday morning (2AM Nov 29: 19.4N 138.2E)...while about 1,670 km East of Batanes Group of Islands. NIDA will start to accelerate NE-ward by Monday through Tuesday and continue to weaken, as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) affects its circulation (2AM Nov 30: 20.8N 138.5E...2AM Dec 01: 23.8N 140.4E). Based on this forecast, this system is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Marianas including Guam & Saipan. Extensive damage is likely on this type of storm surge.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 15.4N 140.1E / 285-350 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.7N 139.2E / 280-335 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNW @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 18.5N 138.3E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / N @ 04 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed November 25 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on STY NIDA (27W).
NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 295 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 210 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 215 kph
SUPER TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 26 November 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #016 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Eastern Coast of the Philippines should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Thu Nov 26 2009
Location of Eye: 14.3º N Lat 140.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km (240 nm) WNW of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 625 km (337 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,780 km (960 nm) East of Bicol Region, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 295 kph (160 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 360 kph (195 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 200 mm
Minimum Central Pressure: 905 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 5
Present Movement: NW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
Towards: North Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 45 ft (13.7 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: >18 feet [5.5 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Thu Nov 26
+ Forecast Outlook: NIDA is currently displaying a well-defined 37-km. diameter round eye, surrounded with a very intense eyewall...and is expected to continue moving NW to NNW for the next 2 days and lose strength. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system downgraded to Category 4 and start to slow down as it begins to recurve towards the NNE by early Sunday morning (2AM Nov 29: 19.4N 138.2E)...while about 1,670 km East of Batanes Group of Islands. NIDA will start to accelerate NE-ward by Monday through Tuesday and continue to weaken, as increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) affects its circulation (2AM Nov 30: 20.8N 138.5E...2AM Dec 01: 23.8N 140.4E). Based on this forecast, this system is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. *Alternate Forecast Scenario (AFS): Less than half of its cluster of forecast models are showing NIDA to turn towards the left...tracking it towards the Philippines on a West to WSW motion due to an approaching High Pressure Ridge off China. This scenario remains poor at this time. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: NIDA's southeastern outer rainbands still spreading across Marianas including Guam & Saipan, bringing passing rains with squalls across the area. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to heavy rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 200 mm (very heavy rain) near the center of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for STY NIDA (27W)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2609.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 15.4N 140.1E / 285-350 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 16.7N 139.2E / 280-335 KPH (STY-Cat 5) / NNW @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 18.5N 138.3E / 230-280 KPH (TY-Cat 4) / N @ 04 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 19.4N 138.2E / 205-250 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / N @ 07 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) THU 26 NOVEMBER POSITION: 11.6N 143.0E.
*ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS STY 26W HAS MAINTAINED A WELL-
DEFINED, SYMMETRICAL STRUCTURE WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY.
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THE ABOVE ANIMATION SHOWING A
WELL-DEFINED 20-NM EYE WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY OF 160 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE FIX OF T7.5 FROM
PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. NIDA IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT
APPROACHES AN AREA OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND RELATIVELY
COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. BY 72 HRS, IT IS EXPECTED TO CREST
THE RIDGE AXIS AN RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE NUMERIC
GUIDANCE IS IN OVERALL AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK FORECAST WITH THE
NOTABLE EXCEPTION OF UKMET AND JGSM. BOTH SOLUTIONS INDICATE A
DRASTIC DEVIATION TO THE THE LEFT OF THE MODEL ENVELOPE TOWARDS THE
PHILIPPINES AFTER 24 HRS. THIS FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF
CONSENSUS AFTER 72 HRS...(more)
>> NIDA, meaning: Name of woman. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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