Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon LINFA (03W) approaches Fujian, China... [Update #012]

for Sunday, 21 June 2009 [1:08 PM PST]

LINFA (03W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr

TYPHOON LINFA (03W/0903)
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sun 21 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #016 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION

Typhoon LINFA (03W) continues to lose strength as its circulation deteriorates due to land interaction...closing in to Fujian Province...Rain bands spreading across Western Taiwan and Southeastern China.

*Residents and visitors along Southeastern China and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of LINFA.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: LINFA is expected to continue moving NNE for the next 12 hours before turning to the NE. Its weakening core shall pass very close to the shores of Fujian province early tonight. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows LINFA weakening into a Tropical Storm as it passes over Taiwan Strait later tonight and shall accelerate across the southern portion of the East China Sea on Monday afternoon, June 22, before zooming across the NW Pacific passing very close to the south of Kyuhsu, Shikoku and Honshu in Japan on Tuesday & Thursday (June 23-24). LINFA is expected to become Extratropical on Wednesday or Thursday (June 24-25).

+ Effects: LINFA's eye and eyewall remains at sea. However, its inner (rain) bands is now spreading across Taiwan Strait and the coastal areas of Eastern Guangdong up to Fujian Province. Increasing winds of up to 100 kph with light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains can be expected.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) has become disorganized as it continues to drift across Micronesia, approaching Yap & Ulithi Islands...located near lat 9.2N lon 140.5E...or about 265 km ESE of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 25 kph...currently moving Westward slowly.

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into significant Tropical Cyclone within the next few days.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun June 21 2009
Location of Center: 23.7º N Lat 118.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 100 km (55 nm) SSE of Xiamen, China
Distance 2: 195 km (105 nm) ENE of Shantou, China
Distance 3: 210 km (115 nm) NW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 4: 275 km (148 nm) SSW of Fuzhou, China
Distance 5: 335 km (180 nm) WSW of Taipei, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (80 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNE @ 24 kph (13 kts)
General Direction: Fujian-Taiwan Strait Area
Size (in Diameter): 480 km (260 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 20 ft (6.0 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sun June 21
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sun June 21
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sun June 21
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 21 JUNE: 25.2N 119.8E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 26 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 22 JUNE: 27.2N 122.0E / 85-100 KPH / NE @ 31 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 23 JUNE: 30.4N 129.9E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 42 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 24 JUNE: 33.2N 140.3E / 45-65 KPH / ENE @ 50 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 21 JUNE POSITION: 23.2N 118.5E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 03W (LINFA) HAS MAINTAINED TYPHOON INTENSITY
OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. THE SMALL RAGGED EYE THAT WAS APPARENT
EARLIER HAS SINCE FILLED AND THE CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO DETRERIORATE AS UPPER LEVEL SHEAR INCREASED
TO 30 KNOTS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP
CONVECTION HAS REDUCED TO THE EAST THROUGH SOUTH QUADRANTS OF THE
SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, THE TYPHOON HAS CLOSED IN ON THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW TO THE NORTH, INHIBITING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD. THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A RADAR LOOP
FROM RCCG WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE...(more)

>> LINFA, meaning: Lotus. Name contributed by: Macau.
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 2 AM (18 GMT) 21 JUNE: 22.3N 118.2E / NNE @ 13 kph / 95 kph [Outside PAR]

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY LINFA (03W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm