for Thursday, 25 June 2009 [1:29 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu June 25 2009):
Just uploaded the T2K 12PM Track Chart on NANGKA...Still issuing 6-hrly SMS updates & 6-hrly web (pop-up) advisories.
NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Thu 25 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #011 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) has regained back its strength to 85 kph...accelerating away from Western Luzon. SW Monsoon currently being activated.
*Residents and visitors along Western Luzon, Southern China and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to turn NNW into the open waters of the South China Sea and intensify. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows NANGKA reaching peak forecast winds of 110 kph on Saturday morning, June 27 - while near the coast of Fujian Province in China. By then, NANGKA shall start to recurve and accelerate towards the NNE to NE beginning Saturday afternoon and shall move across Taiwan Strait on Saturday evening, passing very close to Taipei around 5 AM Sunday June 28 w/ a distance of just 75 km. to the NNW. Upon its close passage over Taiwan, NANGKA shall be an Extratropical Cyclone.
+ Effects: NANGKA's circulation continues to reorganize over the South China Sea or west of Pangasinan. Its inner bands is now at sea barely affecting the coast of Luzon...Winds of up to 85 kph with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the inner bands especially along the core or central-dense overcast (CDO) of the system. While, the outer bands of NANGKA together w/ the SW Monsoon continues to affect parts of Southern Tagalog including Metro Manila, Calamian Group & rest of Mindoro Island. Light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ occasional rains & some passing thunderstorms w/ squalls. Moderate to slightly strong SW winds not exceeding 45 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, WESTERN BICOL, PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS, WESTERN VISAYAS & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu June 25 2009
Location of Center: 15.7º N Lat 118.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 215 km (115 nm) WSW of Dagupan City
Distance 2: 235 km (127 nm) WSW of San Fernando City
Distance 3: 320 km (172 nm) NW of Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Thu June 25
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Thu June 25
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Thu June 25
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: NORTHERN MINDORO, LUBANG ISLAND, BATANGAS, BATAAN, ZAMBALES & WESTERN PANGASINAN.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 25 JUNE: 17.4N 118.1E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 20 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on FERIA!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu June 25 2009):
Just uploaded the T2K 12PM Track Chart on NANGKA...Still issuing 6-hrly SMS updates & 6-hrly web (pop-up) advisories.
NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Thu 25 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #011 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION
*Residents and visitors along Western Luzon, Southern China and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to turn NNW into the open waters of the South China Sea and intensify. The 2 to 4-day Long-Range Forecast shows NANGKA reaching peak forecast winds of 110 kph on Saturday morning, June 27 - while near the coast of Fujian Province in China. By then, NANGKA shall start to recurve and accelerate towards the NNE to NE beginning Saturday afternoon and shall move across Taiwan Strait on Saturday evening, passing very close to Taipei around 5 AM Sunday June 28 w/ a distance of just 75 km. to the NNW. Upon its close passage over Taiwan, NANGKA shall be an Extratropical Cyclone.
+ Effects: NANGKA's circulation continues to reorganize over the South China Sea or west of Pangasinan. Its inner bands is now at sea barely affecting the coast of Luzon...Winds of up to 85 kph with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the inner bands especially along the core or central-dense overcast (CDO) of the system. While, the outer bands of NANGKA together w/ the SW Monsoon continues to affect parts of Southern Tagalog including Metro Manila, Calamian Group & rest of Mindoro Island. Light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ occasional rains & some passing thunderstorms w/ squalls. Moderate to slightly strong SW winds not exceeding 45 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, WESTERN BICOL, PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS, WESTERN VISAYAS & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu June 25 2009
Location of Center: 15.7º N Lat 118.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 215 km (115 nm) WSW of Dagupan City
Distance 2: 235 km (127 nm) WSW of San Fernando City
Distance 3: 320 km (172 nm) NW of Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 500 km (270 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Thu June 25
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Thu June 25
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Thu June 25
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: NORTHERN MINDORO, LUBANG ISLAND, BATANGAS, BATAAN, ZAMBALES & WESTERN PANGASINAN.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 25 JUNE: 17.4N 118.1E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 20 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 26 JUNE: 19.5N 117.7E / 95-120 KPH / N @ 19 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 27 JUNE: 22.9N 118.1E / 110-140 KPH / NE @ 20 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 28 JUNE: 26.1N 121.5E / 85-100 KPH / NE @ 28 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 25 JUNE POSITION: 15.1N 118.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (NANGKA) CONTINUED TO TRACK TO THE
NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR)
WEST OF LUZON. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
12 HOURS WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND LINGERING INTERACTION
FROM LAND AS THE PRIMARY LIMITING CAUSE. INTENSITY IS BASED ON
ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP
CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). POORLY DEFINED CONVECTIVE BANDING IS SEEN WRAPPING
AROUND THE SOUTHERN FLANK AND INTO THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER.
POSITION CONFIDENCE IS GOOD DUE TO PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC.
SCATTEROMETER AND MICROWAVE DATA WERE MISSES FOR THE LAST EIGHT
HOURS, BUT A 250245Z WINDSAT PASS WHERE THE RETURNS WERE RAIN
FLAGGED INDICATES THE LLCC IS OVER WATER...(more)
>> NANGKA, meaning: JackFruit. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 25 JUNE: 15.4N 118.4E / NW @ 17 kph / 65 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS NANGKA (FERIA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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