Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS NANGKA (FERIA) threatens Southern China... [Update #013]

for Friday, 26 June 2009 [9:38 AM PST]

<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm & Weather Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri June 26 2009):

The Final T2K Track Map on NANGKA now available...Just added T2K ADVISORY ARCHIVES link, located just below the T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY header.

NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 70 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013
As of 6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 26 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #014 / T2K ANALYSIS
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) has moved out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while heading NW in the direction of Southern China.

*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to turn to the north and shall make landfall off Southern China near the Guangdong-Fujian border early tomorrow morning. After landfall, NANGKA shall recurve to the NE and dissipate along the rugged terrain of Fujian Province on Sunday, June 28.

+ Effects: NANGKA's circulation has slightly improved over the South China Sea but is partially exposed with most of its rain-cloud convection south of the center. The moderate to slightly high vertical wind shear (upper level winds) over the South China remains one of the inhibiting factors on NANGKA's development.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: WEAK >> Partly Cloudy skies w/ light occasional rains & some passing thunderstorms w/ squall plus light to moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: MINDORO & WESTERN LUZON.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri June 26 2009
Location of Center: 18.9º N Lat 116.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 400 km (248 nm) WNW of Laoag City
Distance 2: 425 km (230 nm) SE of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 500 km (270 nm) SSW of Shantou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 465 km (250 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 AM PST Fri June 26 [FINAL]
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu June 25
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Fri June 26
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JUNE: 20.9N 116.1E / 75-95 KPH / N @ 22 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 27 JUNE: 23.2N 116.0E / 75-95 KPH / NNE @ 19 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 28 JUNE: 26.7N 118.2E / 30-45 KPH / NE @ 20 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 26 JUNE POSITION: 18.6N 116.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (NANGKA) CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE
NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) EAST OF LUZON. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST 12 HOURS WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AS THE PRIMARY
LIMITING CAUSE. INTENSITY IS BASED ON ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES AND
RJTD. A 252140Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS CONVECTION ONLY OVER
THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF AN INCREASINGLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)...(more)

>> NANGKA, meaning: JackFruit. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 4 AM (20 GMT) 26 JUNE: 18.7N 116.9E / NNW @ 19 kph / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS NANGKA (FERIA)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm