Tuesday, June 23, 2009

TS NANGKA (FERIA) crossing Samar Island...[Update #005]




for Tuesday, 23 June 2009 [7:30 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tue June 23 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories on Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) as it heads towards Masbate-Ticao Area...Storm Warning Signal #2 now raised over parts of Visayas & Bicol Region.


NANGKA (FERIA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM NANGKA [FERIA/04W/0904]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005

As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Tue 23 June 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #004 (US Navy/Air Force) / T2K XTRAPOLATION

  • Tropical Storm NANGKA (FERIA) made landfall over Samar Island awhile ago and has jogged slightly NW-ward...now in the vicinity of Northern Samar.

    *Residents and visitors along Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the progress of NANGKA.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: NANGKA is expected to track WNW and slowly intensify as it traverses the islands of Ticao and Masbate around 1-2 AM tomorrow. The 2-day Medium Range Forecast shows NANGKA making its 2nd landfall over Batangas-Southern Quezon Area, passing very close to Lucena City tomorrow evening and cross Batangas and Cavite before moving into Bataan on early Thursday morning w/ winds of 95 kph. It shall move across the Zambales Mountains, passing over Subic-Olongapo City Thursday morning before moving out into the coast of La Union thru Lingayen Gulf on Thursday afternoon, June 25.

    + Effects: NANGKA's circulation continues to improve and expand. Its inner bands continue to spread across Samar, Leyte and Masbate...Winds of up to 85 kph with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the inner bands. Meanwhile, outer bands of NANGKA continues to spread across the whole of Visayas, Northern Mindanao, Bicol Region has begun spreading across the Southern Tagalog Provinces. Light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the center. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to affect the area today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Tue June 23 2009
    Location of Center: 12.3º N Lat 124.9º E Lon
    Distance 1: 40 km (21 nm) SSE of Catarman, N.Samar
    Distance 2: 125 km (67 nm) SE of Sorsogon City
    Distance 3: 140 km (75 nm) East of Masbate
    Distance 4: 160 km (85 nm) SE of Legazpi City
    Distance 5: 165 km (90 nm) SSE of Virac, Catanduanes
    Distance 6: 205 km (110 nm) SE of Gota Beach
    Distance 7: 235 km (127 nm) SE of Metro Naga/CWC
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    65 kph (35 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
    General Direction: Masbate-Ticao Area
    Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
    T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Tue June 23
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    06Z Tue June 23
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Tue June 23
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) click to know meaning
    In Effect: BICOL REGION, TICAO ISLAND, BURIAS ISLAND, MARINDUQUE, ROMBLON, SOUTHERN QUEZON, ORIENTAL MINDORO, SAMAR, LEYTE, BILIRAN ISLAND, NORTHERN ILOILO, NORTHERN NEGROS, NORTHERN CEBU, AKLAN, & CAPIZ.

    The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight & tomorrow (with winds of up to 85 kph for #02). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    In Effect: METRO MANILA, BULACAN, BATAAN, CUYO ISLAND, CALAMIAN GROUP, POLILLO ISLAND, NORTHERN QUEZON, RIZAL, LAGUNA, CAVITE, BATANGAS, LUBANG ISLAND, OCCIDENTAL MINDORO, BOHOL, REST OF CEBU, REST OF NEGROS, GUIMARAS, SOUTHERN ILOILO, ANTIQUE, SIQUIJOR, SURIGAO DEL NORTE, SIARGAO ISLAND, DINAGAT AND CAMIGUIN ISLANDS.

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight & tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

    12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
    2 AM (18 GMT) 24JUNE: 12.1N 123.8E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH
  • 2 PM (06 GMT) 24 JUNE: 13.1N 122.1E / 85-100 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 25 JUNE: 15.9N 120.0E / 85-100 KPH / N @ 17 KPH
    2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JUNE: 19.6N 119.7E / 75-95 KPH / NNE @ 28 KPH

    REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 23 JUNE POSITION: 11.3N 125.8E.
    ^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (FOUR) CONTINUED TO TRACK TO THE WEST
    ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DEVELOPING NORTH
    OF TS 04W. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS SEEN A DECREASE IN
    THE TRACK SPEED AS IT HAS APPROACHED THE PHILIPPINES, WITH A FURTHER
    REDUCTION IN TRACK SPEED EXPECTED AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
    PORTION OF THE PHILIPPINES. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) HAS
    CONTINUED TO BUILD TO THE WEST, CAUSING A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN
    PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. WARNING NR 03 IS THE FIRST WARNING AS A
    TROPICAL STORM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTIVE
    BANDING THAT HAS STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS
    ...(
    more)

    >> NANGKA, meaning: JackFruitName contributed by: Malaysia.
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 4 AM (08 GMT) 23 JUNE: 12.2N 124.8E / WNW @ 22 kph / 75 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
    ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION
    :


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS NANGKA (FERIA)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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