for Monday, 02 April 2012 [6:48 AM PhT]
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday Mar 29 2012):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on PAKHAR (02W).
PAKHAR MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (FWC-N/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR [02W/1201]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Mon 02 Apr 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/Fleet Weather Center-Norfolk TC Warning #016/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
PAKHAR (02W) just barely a Tropical Storm as it moves over land into Cambodia...now along the Cambodian-Vietnamese Border...Rainbands continues to spread across parts of Southern Vietnam & Cambodia.
Residents and visitors along Southern Vietnam & Cambodia should closely monitor the progress of PAKHAR (02W).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon April 02 2012
Location of Center: 11.9º N Lat 106.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 127 km NNW of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 2: 167 km ENE of Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Distance 3: 306 km WSW of Nha Trang, Vietnam
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Cambodia
NOAA 24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 200 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 5-30 mm/hr (Light-Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 260 km (140 nm) [Small]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Mon Apr 02
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
PAKHAR (02W) is expected to move NW-ward across Cambodia for the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of PAKHAR will pass close to Phnom Penh tonight. This system will be over Central Cambodia by early Tuesday morning.
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 65 km/hr (35 knots) with higher gusts. PAKHAR is forecast to lose strength & dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Downgraded to a Tropical Depression as it dissipates over Central Cambodia [2AM APR 03: 12.4N 104.5E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Southern Vietnam & Cambodia. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands today (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (high) along areas near the center of PAKHAR (02W). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TS PAKHAR (02W)
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0212.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: PAKHAR's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS PAKHAR (02W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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