Bushman's Typhoon Blog: April 2012

Monday, April 02, 2012

TD PAKHAR [02W] - Final Update

for Monday, 02 April 2012 [12:32 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday Mar 29 2012):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on PAKHAR (02W).

PAKHAR MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (FWC-N/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAKHAR [02W/1201]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 013 **FINAL**
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Mon 02 Apr 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

PAKHAR (02W) downgraded to a Tropical Depression...currently dissipating over Cambodia. Decaying rainbands continues to spread across parts of Eastern & Southern Vietnam & Cambodia.

*This is the last and final advisory on PAKHAR.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon April 02 2012
Location of Center: 13.0º N Lat 106.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 233 km NE of Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Distance 2: 246 km North of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 3: 305 km WNW of Nha Trang, Vietnam
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Cambodia
NOAA 12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 85 mm (Medium)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 5-30 mm/hr (Light-Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 260 km (140 nm) [Small]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Mon Apr 02

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Eastern & Southern Vietnam & Cambodia. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands today (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 49 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 50 to 85 mm (medium) along areas near the center of PAKHAR (02W). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD PAKHAR (02W)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0212.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: PAKHAR's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD PAKHAR (02W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__._,_.___

Reply to sender | Reply to group | Reply via web post | Start a New Topic

Messages in this topic (1)

Recent Activity:

New Members 2

Visit Your Group

Switch to: Text-Only, Daily Digest • Unsubscribe • Terms of Use

__,_._,___

TS PAKHAR [02W] - Update #012

for Monday, 02 April 2012 [6:48 AM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday Mar 29 2012):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on PAKHAR (02W).

PAKHAR MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (FWC-N/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR [02W/1201]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 012
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Mon 02 Apr 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/Fleet Weather Center-Norfolk TC Warning #016/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

PAKHAR (02W) just barely a Tropical Storm as it moves over land into Cambodia...now along the Cambodian-Vietnamese Border...Rainbands continues to spread across parts of Southern Vietnam & Cambodia.

Residents and visitors along Southern Vietnam & Cambodia should closely monitor the progress of PAKHAR (02W).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon April 02 2012
Location of Center: 11.9º N Lat 106.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 127 km NNW of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 2: 167 km ENE of Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Distance 3: 306 km WSW of Nha Trang, Vietnam
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: NW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Cambodia
NOAA 24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 200 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 5-30 mm/hr (Light-Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 260 km (140 nm) [Small]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Mon Apr 02

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

PAKHAR (02W) is expected to move NW-ward across Cambodia for the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of PAKHAR will pass close to Phnom Penh tonight. This system will be over Central Cambodia by early Tuesday morning.

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 65 km/hr (35 knots) with higher gusts. PAKHAR is forecast to lose strength & dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Downgraded to a Tropical Depression as it dissipates over Central Cambodia [2AM APR 03: 12.4N 104.5E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Southern Vietnam & Cambodia. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands today (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (high) along areas near the center of PAKHAR (02W). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TS PAKHAR (02W)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0212.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: PAKHAR's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS PAKHAR (02W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__._,_.___

Reply to sender | Reply to group | Reply via web post | Start a New Topic

Messages in this topic (1)

Recent Activity:

New Members 3

Visit Your Group

Switch to: Text-Only, Daily Digest • Unsubscribe • Terms of Use

__,_._,___

Sunday, April 01, 2012

TS PAKHAR [02W] - Update #011

for Sunday, 01 April 2012 [6:30 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday Mar 29 2012):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on PAKHAR (02W).

PAKHAR MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (FWC-N/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 70 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR [02W/1201]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 011
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Sun 01 Apr 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/Fleet Weather Center-Norfolk TC Warning #014/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) has accelerated WNW over the past 6 hours...now making landfall over Southern Vietnam, along Vung Tau and Ba Ria Area. Strong winds and heavy rains pounding the area including Ho Chi Minh City.

Projected Landfall Area [PLA]: Between Vung Tau-Ba Ria (Now).

Residents and visitors along Southern Vietnam & Cambodia should closely monitor the progress of PAKHAR (02W).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun April 01 2012
Location of Center: 10.6º N Lat 107.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 69 km ESE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 2: 273 km SW of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 284 km ESE of Phnom Penh, Cambodia
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 15 kph (08 kts)
Towards: Southern Vietnam-Cambodia
NOAA 12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 200 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 25-50 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) [Small-Avg]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Sun Apr 01

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

PAKHAR (02W) is expected to maintain its WNW motion across Southern Vietnam & Cambodia for the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of PAKHAR will pass very close to Ho Chi Minh City in the next few hours. This system will be just along the Vietnamese-Cambodian Border on Monday afternoon.

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 75 km/hr (40 knots) with higher gusts. PAKHAR is forecast to lose strength & dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Crossing the Vietnamese-Cambodian Border...just a weak Tropical Depression as it dissipates [2PM APR 02: 11.7N 105.6E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across portions of Southern Vietnam particularly Ho Chi Minh City, Bien Hoa, Long Khanh District, Vung Tau, Ba Ria, My Tho and nearby areas. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-94 kph) will be expected along these bands today.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across rest of Southeastern & Southern Vietnam...and Southeastern Cambodia. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands today (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (high) along areas near the center of PAKHAR (02W). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Southern Vietnam today. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of the rest of Vietnam. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS PAKHAR (02W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__._,_.___

Reply to sender | Reply to group | Reply via web post | Start a New Topic

Messages in this topic (1)

Recent Activity:

New Members 3

Visit Your Group

Switch to: Text-Only, Daily Digest • Unsubscribe • Terms of Use

__,_._,___

TS PAKHAR [02W] - Update #010

for Sunday, 01 April 2012 [12:40 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thursday Mar 29 2012):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on PAKHAR (02W).

PAKHAR MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (FWC-N/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL STORM PAKHAR [02W/1201]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 010
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Sun 01 Apr 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/Fleet Weather Center-Norfolk TC Warning #013/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) nearing land as it approaches the coast of Southern Vietnam...Rainbands continues to spread across Southern Vietnam including Ho Chi Minh City .

Projected Landfall Area [PLA]: Near Vung Tau (between 7-8pm HK Time tonight).

Residents and visitors along Southeastern & Southern Vietnam & Cambodia should closely monitor the progress of PAKHAR (02W).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sun April 01 2012
Location of Center: 9.9º N Lat 108.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 183 km SE of Ho Chi Minh City
Distance 2: 282 km SSW of Nha Trang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 397 km SE of Phnom Penh, Cambodia
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 75 kph (40 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
Towards: Southern Vietnam
NOAA 24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 320 mm (High)
TRMM Rainrate (near center): 25-50 mm/hr (Mod-Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
Size (in Diameter): 445 km (240 nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Sun Apr 01

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

PAKHAR (02W) is expected to maintain its slow WNW motion over the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of PAKHAR will make landfall over Southern Vietnam (near Vung Tau) early this evening, and will pass very close to Ho Chi Minh City early Monday morning (approx. 3AM HK Time). This system will be just along the Vietnamese-Cambodian Border on Monday before 12 high noon.

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min. avg) are near 75 km/hr (40 knots) with higher gusts. PAKHAR is forecast to lose strength during the next 12 to 24 hours and dissipate.

Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 140 kilometers (75 nautical miles) from the center. PAKHAR (02W) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers (240 nautical miles).

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY MORNING: Approaching the Vietnamese-Cambodian Border...just a Tropical Depression as it moves across Southern Vietnam [8AM APR 02: 11.3N 106.2E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across the coastal areas of Southern Vietnam. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-94 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Southeastern & Southern Vietnam...and over the SE portions of Cambodia. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 320 mm (high) along areas near the center of PAKHAR (02W). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 1-3 ft [0.3-0.9 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Southern Vietnam today. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Spratly Islands & other coastal areas of Vietnam. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS PAKHAR (02W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm