for Monday, 07 November 2011 [5:40 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Oct 15 2011):
Now issuing the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 24W (UNNAMED) as the system develops near Vietnam's east coast..
24W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Mon 07 November 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
The large and broad disturbance (LPA 98W) near the east coast of Vietnam in the South China Sea has already been classified by the US JTWC as Tropical Depression 24W (UNNAMED)...accelerating NNW along the east coast of Vietnam and moving in the direction of Hainan Island. Thick rainbands continues to lash Vietnam, Cambodia & Hainan Island.
Residents and visitors along Hainan & Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 24W (UNNAMED).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon November 07 2011
Location of Center: 15.7º N Lat 110.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam
Distance 2: 333 km ESE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 3: 302 km SSE of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 4: 389 km South of Qionghai, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 1038 km West of Dagupan City, PH
Distance 6: 1133 km WNW of Metro Manila, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: NNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: Hainan Island
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM HKT Mon Nov 07
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
24W (UNNAMED) is expected to move NNW to Northward during the next 24 hrs...with a sudden turn to the NE to ENE by 48 to 72 hours. Little change on its forward speed is likely during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will pass along the SE and Eastern shores of Hainan Island by Tuesday afternoon and evening. It will also be passing less than 200 km to the south of Hong Kong on Thursday.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 24W (UNNAMED) is a weak Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to slightly intensify to 55 km/hr within the next 24 hours.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifying slightly while moving northward - just along the SE Coast of Hainan Island [2PM NOV 08: 18.3N 110.4E @ 55kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly after interacting with Hainan's Terrain...starts to dissipate while turning to the ENE across the Northern part of the South China Sea [2PM NOV 09: 20.1N 112.3E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipated as a remnant low along the northern portion of the South China Sea, south of Hong Kong [2PM NOV 10: 20.7N 115.3E @ 35kph].
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - over water (South China Sea). Near-Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Near-Tropical Storm Force Winds (45-61 kph) will be expected along the developing CDO. (click here to know more about CDO). RAINBANDS - its western & northern bands affecting & spreading across Vietnam, Cambodia and Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TD 24W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2411.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3 days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 24W (Unnamed)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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