Bushman's Typhoon Blog: November 2011

Tuesday, November 08, 2011

TD 24W [Unnamed] - Final Update

for Tuesday, 08 November 2011 [6:50 PM PhT]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tuesday Nov 08 2011):

Ending the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 24W (UNNAMED), as the system dissipates.

24W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004 **FINAL**
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Tue 08 November 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #005/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

Tropical Depression 24W (UNNAMED) has started moving east-northeastward across the northern part of the South China Sea...dissipating over water.

*This is the last and final advisory on 24W.

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue November 08 2011
Location of Center: 17.1º N Lat 109.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 172 km SSW of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 193 km ENE of Da Nang, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: ENE @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: South China Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 240 mm (High)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Final Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM HKT Tue Nov 08

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

24W (UNNAMED) is expected to continue moving ENE during the next 24 hrs, with a little change on its forward speed. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will just pass well south of Hainan on Wednesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 24W (UNNAMED) is a weak Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipated as a remnant low along the northern portion of the South China Sea [2PM NOV 09: 17.2N 111.9E @ 35kph].

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

RAINBANDS - its northwestern & northern bands affecting & spreading across North Central Vietnam, Gulf of Tonkin, Guangdong Province and Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 240 mm (medium to high) along areas near the center of 24W (UNNAMED). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD 24W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2411.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 day Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 24W (Unnamed)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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TD 24W [Unnamed] - Update #003

for Tuesday, 08 November 2011 [11:50 AM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tuesday Nov 08 2011):

Currently issuing the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 24W (UNNAMED).

24W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): -- km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 003
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Tue 08 November 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #004/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

Tropical Depression 24W (UNNAMED) turned westward slowly during the past 6 hours. Most of its rainbands displaced north of its center, bringing widespread rains across North-Central Vietnam & Hainan Island.

Residents and visitors along Hainan & Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 24W (UNNAMED).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Tue November 08 2011
Location of Center: 17.1º N Lat 108.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 117 km NE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 2: 116 km NNE of Da Nang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 162 km SW of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 4: 223 km South of Dongfang, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 518 km SSE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 6: 1264 km WSW of Vigan City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 13 kph (07 kts)
Towards: Hainan Island
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 200 mm (High)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM HKT Tue Nov 08

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

24W (UNNAMED) is expected to turn abruptly Northward during the next 12 hrs...with a more northeasterly turn through 24 hours. Little change on its forward speed is likely during the next 2 days. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will cross the southern shores of Hainan by Wednesday...and track across the northern part of the South China Sea on Thursday.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 24W (UNNAMED) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to dissipate within the next 24 hours.

The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:

WEDNESDAY MORNING: Turns ENE-ward...passing along the southern shores of Hainan with decreasing wind intensity [8AM NOV 09: 18.2N 109.7E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY MORNING: Dissipated as a remnant low along the northern portion of the South China Sea [8AM NOV 10: 18.9N 112.7E @ 30kph].

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

RAINBANDS - its northwestern & northern bands affecting & spreading across North Central Vietnam, Gulf of Tonkin and Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (medium to high) along areas near the center of 24W (UNNAMED). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD 24W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2411.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2 days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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TD 24W [Unnamed] - Update #002

for Tuesday, 08 November 2011 [7:20 AM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Oct 15 2011):

Now issuing the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 24W (UNNAMED) as the system develops near Vietnam's east coast..

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Tue 08 November 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #003/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

Tropical Depression 24W (UNNAMED) continues to move closer to Hainan Island as it intensified slightly.

Residents and visitors along Hainan & Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 24W (UNNAMED).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue November 08 2011
Location of Center: 17.4º N Lat 108.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 123 km SW of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 154 km NNE of Da Nang, Vietnam
Distance 3: 154 km NE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 4: 189 km South of Dongfang, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 503 km SE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 6: 1241 km West of Vigan City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (45 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
Towards: Hainan Island
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 120 mm (Med-High)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 11 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM HKT Tue Nov 08

36-HOUR FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

24W (UNNAMED) is expected to move Northward during the next 12 hrs...with a sudden turn to the NE to ENE through 36 hours. Little change on its forward speed is likely during the next 36 hours. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will cross Hainan Island tonight and dissipate Wednesday afternoon.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts. 24W (UNNAMED) is a Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to reach minimal Tropical Storm strength within the next 06 to 12 hours.

The following is the summary of the 36-hour forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Upgraded to a weak Tropical Storm (TS) as it bears down the coast of SW Hainan [2PM NOV 08: 18.2N 108.6E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipating over Hainan...turns ENE [2AM NOV 09: 19.0N 109.1E @ 45kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipated as a remnant low along the northeastern portion of Hainan Island [2PM NOV 09: 19.5N 110.5E @ 30kph].

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - over water (Southern part of the Gulf of Tonkin). Near-Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Near-Tropical Storm Force Winds (55-61 kph) will be expected along the developing CDO. (click here to know more about CDO).
RAINBANDS - its western & northern bands affecting & spreading across North Central Vietnam and Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (low to medium rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 120 mm (medium to high) along areas near the center of 24W (UNNAMED). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD 24W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2411.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1.5 days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Monday, November 07, 2011

TD 24W [Unnamed] - Update #001

for Monday, 07 November 2011 [5:40 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Saturday Oct 15 2011):

Now issuing the 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 24W (UNNAMED) as the system develops near Vietnam's east coast..

24W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) Mon 07 November 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)

The large and broad disturbance (LPA 98W) near the east coast of Vietnam in the South China Sea has already been classified by the US JTWC as Tropical Depression 24W (UNNAMED)...accelerating NNW along the east coast of Vietnam and moving in the direction of Hainan Island. Thick rainbands continues to lash Vietnam, Cambodia & Hainan Island.

Residents and visitors along Hainan & Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of 24W (UNNAMED).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon November 07 2011
Location of Center: 15.7º N Lat 110.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam
Distance 2: 333 km ESE of Hue, Vietnam
Distance 3: 302 km SSE of Sanya, Hainan Is.
Distance 4: 389 km South of Qionghai, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 1038 km West of Dagupan City, PH
Distance 6: 1133 km WNW of Metro Manila, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: NNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: Hainan Island
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM HKT Mon Nov 07

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

24W (UNNAMED) is expected to move NNW to Northward during the next 24 hrs...with a sudden turn to the NE to ENE by 48 to 72 hours. Little change on its forward speed is likely during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of the depression will pass along the SE and Eastern shores of Hainan Island by Tuesday afternoon and evening. It will also be passing less than 200 km to the south of Hong Kong on Thursday.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 24W (UNNAMED) is a weak Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to slightly intensify to 55 km/hr within the next 24 hours.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifying slightly while moving northward - just along the SE Coast of Hainan Island [2PM NOV 08: 18.3N 110.4E @ 55kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly after interacting with Hainan's Terrain...starts to dissipate while turning to the ENE across the Northern part of the South China Sea [2PM NOV 09: 20.1N 112.3E @ 45kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipated as a remnant low along the northern portion of the South China Sea, south of Hong Kong [2PM NOV 10: 20.7N 115.3E @ 35kph].

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) - over water (South China Sea). Near-Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Near-Tropical Storm Force Winds (45-61 kph) will be expected along the developing CDO. (click here to know more about CDO).
RAINBANDS - its western & northern bands affecting & spreading across Vietnam, Cambodia and Hainan Island. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-44 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD 24W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2411.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 3 days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop