Wednesday, April 16, 2008

TS NEOGURI (AMBO) heads for Hainan... [Update #003]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL STORM NEOGURI [AMBO/02W/0801] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 16 APRIL 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 004
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM NEOGURI (AMBO) HAS LEFT THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPON-
SIBILITY (PAR)...NOW ACCELERATING N0RTHWESTWARD, THREATENING THE ISLAND
OF HAINAN AND THE EASTERN COASTAL AREAS OF VIETNAM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: NEOGURI is expected to continue moving NW'ly across
the South China Sea within the next 24 to 36 hours. This system shall
become a Typhoon as it nears the shores of Hainan Island by early Fri-
day morning (Apr 18). It shall enter the Gulf of Tonkin Friday after-
noon, passing very close to Western Hainan. NEOGURI is forecast to
weaken and turn North before recurving towards the NE, making landfall
along the Vietnam-Southern China (Western Guangdong) border on early
Sunday morning, Apr 20. 

+ EFFECTS: NEOGURI's circulation has become more compact and remains
concentrated across the South China Sea, with its outerbands now
spreading across Vietnam. These bands will continue to bring wide-
spread rains with light to moderate winds across the area. People
living in low-lying areas of Vietnam must seek higher grounds for
possible flooding due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about
by this storm. Precautionary measures must be implemented.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 16 APRIL
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 13.1º N...LONGITUDE 113.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 650 KM (350
NM) NW OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PALAWAN, PH 
DISTANCE 2: 780 KM (420 NM) WSW OF MANILA, PH 
DISTANCE 3: 735 KM (397 NM) SE OF SANYA, HAINAN ISLAND 
DISTANCE 4: 700 KM (378 NM) SE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM 
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 989 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HAINAN ISLAND
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 705 KM (380 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME WED APRIL 16
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - NOW LOWERED.    

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 APRIL: 14.1N 112.6E / 95-120 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 17 APRIL: 15.3N 111.2E / 100-130 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 APRIL: 17.2N 109.1E / 120-150 KPH / NNW @ 13 KPH
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS NEOGURI (AMBO)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
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