Monday, April 14, 2008

TD 01W (AMBO) - Update #001


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W [AMBO] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 14 APRIL 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
THE STRONG AND BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) WHICH CROSSED NORTHERN
MINDANAO LAST NIGHT AND EMERGED OVER SULU SEA THIS MORNING, HAS
STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
(AMBO)...ACCELERATING WEST-
WARD CLOSER TO CENTRAL PALAWAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 02W is likely to become a Tropical Storm later to-
night before crossing Central Palawan and is expected to turn WNW towards
the South China Sea. This system is forecast to become a Category 1 Ty-
phoon, turning more NW'ly upon nearing the Eastern Coast of Vietnam Thurs-
day afternoon, Apr 17. It shall then weaken as it makes landfall over
Hainan Island on Friday afternoon (Apr 19). 

+ EFFECTS: 02W's circulation is now affecting a wide-area of the Visayas
and Southern Luzon, bringing widespread rains with 30-50 km/hr winds
across the island of Palawan, Mindoro and portions of Western Visayas
and Zamboanga. People living in low-lying areas of Palawan must seek
higher grounds for possible flooding due to the anticipated heavy
rains brought about by this depression. Precautionary measures must
be implemented.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 14 APRIL
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.4º N...LONGITUDE 119.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 115 KM (62
NM) ESE OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PALAWAN, PH 
DISTANCE 2: 350 KM (188 NM) WSW OF ILOILO CITY, PH 
DISTANCE 3: 585 KM (315 NM) SSW OF MANILA, PH 
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PALAWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME MON APRIL 14
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - SOUTHERN NEGROS, SOUTHERN ILOILO, SOUTHERN ANTIQUE &
      GUIMARAS ISLAND.    

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 APRIL: 9.7N 118.0E / 65-85 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 15 APRIL: 10.4N 115.9E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 APRIL: 12.1N 112.8E / 100-130 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 14 APRIL: 9.6N 122.1E / WEST @ 15 KPH / 45 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TD 02W (AMBO)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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