Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS KROSA (INENG)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL STORM KROSA [INENG/17W/0715]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 08 OCTOBER 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 028
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM KROSA (INENG) DISSIPATING OFF ZHEJIANG PROVINCE...TO

MOVE BACK TO SEA TONIGHT.

..THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to be downgraded into a Tropical

Depression later tonight and accelerate ENE back into the East China Sea

tomorrow afternoon. This system shall continue to lose strength as it

enters an area of unfavorable atmospheric environment (cooler waters

and increasing wind shear conditions). Complete dissipation of KROSA

is likely by tomorrow evening, Oct 9.

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's inner rainbands remains over Zhejiang Province with

its outer rainbands spreading across the rest of Fujian and Zhejiang.

Gale Force winds with heavy torrential rains will prevail near its

center, while strong winds not exceeding 30 kph with intermittent

rainfall can be expected along its inner rainbands. Cloudy skies with

passing light to moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected

along its outer bands.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon has considerably

dissipated over the South China Sea. Climatic pattern shows transition

phase into the Northeast Monsoon which shall start sometime this

November.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 08 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.9º N...LONGITUDE 120.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 30 KM (17 NM) SW OF WENZHOU, CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 03 KM/HR (02 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG PROVINCE
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME MON OCTOBER 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 28.1N 120.9E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 28.5N 122.0E / 45-65 KPH / E @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER POSITION: 27.8N 120.2E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KROSA) HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY
OVER LAND DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE OVERALL MOTION HAS BEEN A
SLOW DRIFT NORTHWARD, BUT AT LESS THAN 2 KNOTS. DURING THIS TIME,
TS 17W WEAKENED TO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND HAS REMAINED OVER
LAND. TS 17W HAS MAINTAINED A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC), DESPITE HAVING BEEN OVER LAND FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
PARTIALLY TO FULLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH DIMINISHING DEEP
CONVECTION...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
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RECENT TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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