Bushman's Typhoon Blog: October 2007

Tuesday, October 09, 2007

TS KROSA (INENG) - Final Update

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL STORM KROSA [INENG/17W/0715]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 08 OCTOBER 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 028
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL STORM KROSA (INENG) DISSIPATING OFF ZHEJIANG PROVINCE...TO

MOVE BACK TO SEA TONIGHT.

..THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to be downgraded into a Tropical

Depression later tonight and accelerate ENE back into the East China Sea

tomorrow afternoon. This system shall continue to lose strength as it

enters an area of unfavorable atmospheric environment (cooler waters

and increasing wind shear conditions). Complete dissipation of KROSA

is likely by tomorrow evening, Oct 9.

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's inner rainbands remains over Zhejiang Province with

its outer rainbands spreading across the rest of Fujian and Zhejiang.

Gale Force winds with heavy torrential rains will prevail near its

center, while strong winds not exceeding 30 kph with intermittent

rainfall can be expected along its inner rainbands. Cloudy skies with

passing light to moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected

along its outer bands.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon has considerably

dissipated over the South China Sea. Climatic pattern shows transition

phase into the Northeast Monsoon which shall start sometime this

November.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 08 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.9º N...LONGITUDE 120.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 30 KM (17 NM) SW OF WENZHOU, CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 03 KM/HR (02 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG PROVINCE
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME MON OCTOBER 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 28.1N 120.9E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 28.5N 122.0E / 45-65 KPH / E @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER POSITION: 27.8N 120.2E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KROSA) HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY
OVER LAND DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE OVERALL MOTION HAS BEEN A
SLOW DRIFT NORTHWARD, BUT AT LESS THAN 2 KNOTS. DURING THIS TIME,
TS 17W WEAKENED TO A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND HAS REMAINED OVER
LAND. TS 17W HAS MAINTAINED A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC), DESPITE HAVING BEEN OVER LAND FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
PARTIALLY TO FULLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH DIMINISHING DEEP
CONVECTION...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
_____________________________________________________________________________

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS KROSA (INENG)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Monday, October 08, 2007

TS KROSA (INENG) lingering off Zhejiang...[Update #013]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #013

Name: TROPICAL STORM KROSA [INENG/17W/0715]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 08 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 08 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 026
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL STORM KROSA (INENG) HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA

...BARELY MOVING ALONG SOUTHERN ZHEJIANG...DISSIPATING BUT STILL QUITE

A PUNCH CARRYING WINDS OF 85 KM/HR.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to start moving slowly NE'ly to-

wards the Coast of Zhejiang Province within 24 hours and dissipate

further. Tomorrow morning, KROSA shall be downgraded to a Tropical

Depression upon moving back to the East China Sea on its way to Wes-

tern Japan. This weakening system shall continue to lose strength as

it enters an area of unfavorable atmospheric environment (cooler wa-

ters and increasing wind shear conditions). Complete dissipation of

KROSA shall be expected early Wednesday morning, Oct 10.

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's weakening center is now over Zhejiang Province with

its inner rainbands spreading across the rest of Fujian and Zhejiang.

Gale Force to Tropical Storm winds with heavy torrential rains will

prevail near its center, while strong winds not exceeding 60 kph with

intermittent rainfall can be expected along its inner rainbands. Mean-

while, Krosa's outer rainbands continues to spread across Western Taiwan,

extending over other portions of SE and Southern China including Shanghai

area. Cloudy skies with passing light to moderate and sometimes heavy

downpour can be expected along its outer bands. Coastal Storm Surge floo-

ding of 1 to 2 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dan-

gerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north of KROSA's

projected path particularly over SE China. Minimal damage is possible on

this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible along Wes-

tern Taiwan, Okinawa and Southern China. Flash floods and mudslides are

imminent along river banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the

affected areas. Precautionary measures must be initiated especially

along the path of this storm.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon has considerably

dissipated over the South China Sea. Climatic pattern shows transition

phase into the Northeast Monsoon which shall start sometime this

November.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: A new developing Tropical Disturbance

(LPA/1008 MB) has spotted near Palau Island or about 1,215 km. ESE of

Surigao City (8.5N 136.5E)..moving West slowly. This disturbance will

be closely monitored for possible development and threat to the

Philippines this week. Stay tuned.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 08 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.8º N...LONGITUDE 120.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (100 NM) WSW OF WENZHOU, CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 989 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNE @ 00 KM/HR (00 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG PROVINCE
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME MON OCTOBER 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 28.3N 120.3E / 75-95 KPH / ENE @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 29.0N 121.6E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 15 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 10 OCTOBER: 30.7N 125.4E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 08 OCTOBER POSITION: 27.6N 120.0E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KROSA) HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD OF CHINA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DURING THIS TIME,
TS 17W MADE LANDFALL AT 070900Z AS IT WEAKENED DUE TO INTERACTION
WITH THE SURROUNDING LANDMASSES AND ENTRAINMENT OF DRIER CONTINENTIAL
AIR. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGES
INDICATE THAT MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TS 17W TRACKED
ALONG THE WEST-SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR)
AS IT BEGUN A RECURVE...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
_____________________________________________________________________________

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Krosa Video

technorati tags:Taiwan, Hukou, typhoon, Krosa, storm, rain, wind, video

Blogged with Flock

KROSA (INENG) weakens into a Tropical Storm... [Update #012]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #012

Name: TROPICAL STORM KROSA [INENG/17W/0715]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SUN 07 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 08 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 024
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

KROSA (INENG) LOSES STRENGTH WHILE APPROACHING SOUTHEASTERN CHINA...

DOWNGRADED INTO A TROPICAL STORM...NOW OFF THE SHORES OF FUJIAN-

ZHEJIANG AREA...EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS ZHEJIANG THROUGHOUT

THE NIGHT.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to make its second landfall

along the Fujian-Zhejiang border in the next few hours and move inland

across Zhejiang Province tonight. Tomorrow afternoon, KROSA shall start

its recurvature towards the ENE and shall move into the East China Sea

on its way to Western Japan. This weakening system shall continue to

lose strength as it enters an area of unfavorable atmospheric environ-

ment (cooler waters and increasing wind shear conditions). Complete di-

ssipation of KROSA shall be expected on Wednesday, Oct 10.

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's weakening center is now off the shores of Fujian-

Zhejiang border with its inner rainbands still spreading across the

rest of Fujian and Zhejiang. Gale Force to Tropical Storm winds with

heavy torrential rains will prevail near the center, while strong winds

not exceeding 60 kph with intermittent rainfall can be expected along

its inner rainbands. Meanwhile, Krosa's outer rainbands continues to

spread across Taiwan, extending over other portions of SE and Southern

China including Shanghai area. Cloudy skies with passing light to mo-

derate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected along its outer

bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 2 to 3 feet above normal tide

levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected

near and to the north of KROSA's projected path particularly over SE

China. Moderate damage is possible on this type of storm surge. Far-

fetched storm surge is possible along Western Taiwan, Okinawa and Sou-

thern China. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks,

low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas. Precautionary

measures must be initiated especially along the path of this storm.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Dissipating Southwest (SW) Monsoon enhanced

by Storm KROSA (INENG) - will continue to bring mostly cloudy skies with

possible intermittent rains & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or higher across

Western Coast of Luzon. Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along

steep mountain slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the

affected areas, while big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon

can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of Western Luzon. Meanwhile,

the rest of the Philippines is under the active ITCZ (Monsoon Trough),

which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms most especially in

the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 07 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 27.0º N...LONGITUDE 120.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 115 KM (62 NM) SSW OF WENZHOU, CHINA

DISTANCE 2: 150 KM (80 NM) NE OF FUZHOU, CHINA

DISTANCE 3: 255 KM (137 NM) NW OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN

DISTANCE 4: 475 KM (260 NM) SSW OF SHANGHAI, CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 985 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG PROVINCE
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 15 FEET (4.5 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME SUN OCTOBER 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 27.9N 120.4E / 85-100 KPH / NE @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 28.8N 121.3E / 75-95 KPH / ENE @ 13 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 09 OCTOBER: 29.9N 124.3E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 07 OCTOBER POSITION: 26.7N 120.4E.
^...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
_____________________________________________________________________________

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Sunday, October 07, 2007

Typhoon Krosa: We Got Lucky

Photos by MJ Klein

The wind howled like I have never heard it in my life. The windows held, but water seeped in through microscopic cracks in the wall, and seams around the windows. Ominous sounds emanated from various structures in the neighborhood as the high winds exposed shoddy construction methods and materials. Debris flew through the air creating a very real hazard to life and property. Then, almost as suddenly as it began, it was over....

This is our neighbor's pidgen coop on the morning after. Notice the brown spot to rear of the property (right side of photo). The coop used to sit on that brown spot. It got blown down and over the fence and into the adjoining property, destroying one of the water tanks in the process.

I heard a crash and went up on the roof to see what had happened. I had tied down our picnic tables so I knew they were OK. Nevertheless, one of the tables was actually airborne, held down by the lanyards I had installed to hold down the umbrellas. But the tables weren't the problem. This ridiculously stupid pidgen coop had blown over and was resting at about a 45 degree angle on the fence separating the next property. Of course, I ran and told the owner, who of course did nothing about it. My offer to help him tie it down with nylon cord was met with indifference as he told me it was already tied down and wouldn't fly away.

I am just so tired of being right. My wife thinks I'm silly because I always want to inform the neighbors of things happening that I would appreciate knowing. This experience has reinforced the fact that people don't seem to care about anything, especially danger. My guess is that this guy will be whining about having to pay money to fix his neighbor's destroyed water tank, which was completely avoidable.

We had lost one of the covers on our own water tanks during the last typhoon. Now they are a matching set. I picked up the cover across the street in the parking lot. The retaining wire on the tank held though (on the right hand tank, visible in the large size photo). The winds were so strong that the force broke the weld on the cover handle and literally tore it off. Let me tell you, when I went up to the roof to check things out, it felt like I was being sandblasted by the rain!

While up on the roof checking things out this morning, I noticed 2 new mountains that I never knew existed since I hadn't seen them before. The one cool thing about typhoons is that they really clear the air.

But, they trash the streets. Literally.

What else can you do but drag downed branches to the roadside?

This sign post was bent over like a corn stalk in a crop circle. I'm officially impressed!

The mud pattern shows that a respectable volume of water had flowed down this street.

And the sewer system confirms that indeed a large volume of water had been absorbed into the system and was overflowing. In this shot, the water at the top of the photo is going out from the sewer system and not draining into it. The water level is above the grating.

The real estate office lost their sign, which blew over the top of this building and landed behind it, next to our car. The sign then blew all the way down to the end of this street. Incredible as that sounds, the wind took it away like a leaf. I watched with fascination as the sign scaled the fence shown along side this building (easier to see on the large size) The fabric banners below are tattered.

I am inclined to think that maybe I would take stuff like that down, but typhoons are so commonplace in Taiwan that people don't expect much to happen.

Our otherwise lovely street took a beating.