Bushman's Typhoon Blog: April 2014

Thursday, April 10, 2014

TD PEIPAH (DOMENG) Final Update

for Thursday, 10 April 2014 [8:05 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 021 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014

Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) has weakened into an area of low pressure due to unfavorable atmospheric conditions while over the South Philippine Sea during the past 12 hours.

*This is the last and final update on TD Peipah (Domeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible effects caused by the remnants of tropical cyclone.

EASTERN VISAYAS including DINAGAT & SIARGAO ISLANDS: Moderate to Heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm are likely to occur beginning Friday morning until Monday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation for possible changes in its forecast.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.

Location: Over the northern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.6N 131.0E)
About: 520 km east-northeast of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur...or 645 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 400 mm [Slight to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 500 km (Small)
Past Movement: Northwest @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest at 13 kph
Towards: Eastern Samar

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

The remnants of Peipah (Domeng) is expected to continue moving northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the remnants of TD Peipah will still be over the northern part of South Philippine Sea on Friday afternoon.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating over the South Philippine Sea...about 470 km E of Siargao Island [2PM APR 11: 9.6N 130.4E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu Apr 10, 2014
Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 8.6º N Lat 131.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 490 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 520 km ENE of Bislig City
Distance 3: 565 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 4: 610 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 645 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml

__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD PEIPAH (DOMENG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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TD PEIPAH (DOMENG) Update #020

for Thursday, 10 April 2014 [8:05 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 020
Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014

Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) has weakened slightly while remaining quasi-stationary over the South Philippine Sea during the past 12 hours...continues to be a disorganized system over unfavorable atmospheric conditions. Still, after 2 to 3 days - PEIPAH is forecast to head towards Eastern Visayas and dissipate over Eastern Samar.

Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of TD Peipah (Domeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

EASTERN VISAYAS including DINAGAT & SIARGAO ISLANDS / SOUTHERN BICOL: Moderate to Heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm are likely to occur beginning Friday morning until Monday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation for possible changes in its forecast.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.

Location: Over the northern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.4N 130.5E)
About: 465 km east of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur...or 600 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 400 mm [Slight to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 500 km (Small)
Past Movement: East @ 02 kph (Quasi-Stationary)
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest to Northwest at 05 kph
Towards: Eastern Samar

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Peipah (Domeng) is expected to resume moving north-northwest to northwest within the next 12 to 24 hours...and shall turn west-northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD Peipah will move across the southern edge of the East Philippine Sea on early Saturday morning until Sunday morning.

Peipah (Domeng) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 12 hours...and shall strength during the next 48 hours. By 72 hours, the depression may dissipate into an area of low pressure due to land interaction. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to just 35 kph by early Sunday morning.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Gain a little of strength as it moves NNW to NW across the northern edge of the South Philippine Sea...about 400 km ESE of Siargao Island [2AM APR 11: 9.4N 129.7E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength while moving NW to WNW across the southern part of the East Philippine Sea...about 220 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM APR 12: 11.0N 127.7E @ 55kph].
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Makes landfall over Eastern Samar...dissipates into an area of low pressure...about 75 km SE of Catarman, Northern Samar [2AM APR 13: 12.2N 125.2E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Apr 10, 2014
Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 8.4º N Lat 130.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 465 km E of Bislig City
Distance 3: 510 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 4: 570 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 600 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF

NOTE:

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Wednesday, April 09, 2014

TD PEIPAH (DOMENG) Update #019

for Wednesday, 09 April 2014 [1:46 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 019
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 09 April 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014

Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) not looking healthy as it moves very slowly across the South Philippine Sea...remains a threat to Eastern Visayas.

Residents and visitors along Northeastern Mindanao, Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of TD Peipah (Domeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

EASTERN & CENTRAL VISAYAS including SURIGAO PROVINCES, DINAGAT & SIARGAO ISLANDS: Moderate to Heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm are likely to occur beginning Friday morning until Monday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation for possible changes in its forecast.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.

Location: Over the northern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.6N 130.1E)
About: 410 km east-northeast of Cateel, Davao Oriental...or 550 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 480 mm [Slight to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 610 km (Small)
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 05 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest at 05 kph
Towards: Eastern Visayas

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Peipah (Domeng) is expected to continue moving very slowly, north-northwestward within the next 12 hours...and shall turn northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD Peipah will move across the southern edge of the East Philippine Sea on Friday and Saturday.

Peipah (Domeng) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 48 hours...and shall start to weaken through 72 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to just 45 kph on Saturday afternoon.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its strength as it moves across the northern edge of the South Philippine Sea...about 395 km ESE of Siargao Island [2PM APR 10: 9.5N 129.7E @ 55kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Moving across the southern part of the East Philippine Sea...about 300 km ESE of Siargao Island [2PM APR 11: 10.5N 128.4E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it approaches the coast of Eastern Samar...about 185 km ESE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM APR 12: 11.4N 127.1E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Apr 09, 2014
Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 8.6º N Lat 130.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 410 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 420 km ENE of Bislig City
Distance 3: 475 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 4: 520 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 550 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF

NOTE:

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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TD PEIPAH (DOMENG) Update #018

for Wednesday, 09 April 2014 [1:46 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 018
Issued at: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wednesday 09 April 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 09 April 2014

Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) has been quasi-stationary during the past 6 hours over the South Philippine Sea...may still pose a threat to Eastern Visayas this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Mindanao, Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of TD Peipah (Domeng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT.

Location: Over the northern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.3N 130.2E)
About: 415 km east-northeast of Cateel, Davao Oriental...or 590 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 500 mm [Slight to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 610 km (Small)
Past Movement: Quasi-stationary
Forecast Movement: Northwest at 05 kph
Towards: Eastern Visayas

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

Peipah (Domeng) is expected to continue moving northwestward slowly throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD Peipah will move across the southern edge of the East Philippine Sea on Thursday through Saturday morning.

Peipah (Domeng) is expected to re-strengthen within the next 24 hours...and could regain Tropical Storm (TS) classification. However, after 48 to 72 hours Peipah will start to weaken as it moves closer to the coast of Eastern Samar. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing back to 65 kph on Thursday morning...and down to 45 kph on Saturday morning.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

THURSDAY MORNING: Becomes a TS anew while moving NW slowly across the northern edge of the South Philippine Sea...about 425 km ESE of Siargao Island [8AM APR 10: 8.8N 129.8E @ 65kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Starts to weaken while moving across the northern edge of the South Philippine Sea...about 275 km ENE of Siargao Island [8AM APR 11: 10.0N 128.6E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Just a weak Tropical Depression (TD) as it moves closer to the coast of Eastern Samar...about 110 km ESE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [8AM APR 12: 11.0N 126.8E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Wed Apr 09, 2014
Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 8.3º N Lat 130.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 415 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 430 km E of Bislig City
Distance 3: 490 km SE of Siargao Island
Distance 4: 540 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 590 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF