Bushman's Typhoon Blog: March 2014

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Ex-TD 04W (CALOY) Final Update

for Sunday, 23 March 2014 [8:00 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

EX-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (CALOY) UPDATE NUMBER 003 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sunday 23 March 2014

Tropical Depression 04W (CALOY) has weakened into an area of low pressure while moving across Bohol...expected to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours. Its remnant rainbands will continue to dump rains across the Visayas.

The remnants of Ex-TD 04W (Caloy) will slightly enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 50 kph) across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and Northern Visayas today and Monday.

*This is the last and final update on 04W (Caloy).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...

Location: Over the Southwestern Coast of Bohol (near 9.5N 124.0E)
About: 30 km southeast of Tagbilaran City...or 80 km east-northeast of Dumaguete City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of center): 2 to 50 mm [Slight to Heavy]
Size (in diameter): 250 km (Very Small)
Past Movement: West-Southwest at 11 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Southwest to Southwest at 19 kph
Towards: Southern Negros-Sulu Sea Area

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

04W (Caloy) is expected to move west-southwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD 04W (Caloy) will traverse the southern part of Negros later this afternoon...and will be over the Sulu Sea by early Monday morning.

04W (Caloy) is expected to continue dissipating into an area of unfavorable environment (dry air from the prevailing Northeast Monsoon and its interaction with the Visayan Islands). Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 30 kph during the next 24 hours.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipating over Sulu Sea...just an area of low pressure...about 220 km W of Dipolog City, Zamboanga Del Norte [2AM MAR 24: 8.4N 121.3E @ 30kph].

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

None.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Mar 23, 2014
Class/Name: Ex-TD 04W (Caloy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 9.5º N Lat 124.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 30 km SE of Tagbilaran City
Distance 2: 80 km ENE of Dumaguete City
Distance 3: 85 km NW of Camiguin Island
Distance 4: 90 km S of Cebu City
Distance 5: 170 km WSW of Surigao City
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on Ex-TD 04W (CALOY)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__________________________________________________________________________________________

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Saturday, March 22, 2014

TD 04W (CALOY) Update #002

for Saturday, 22 March 2014 [6:40 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (CALOY) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Saturday 22 March 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Sunday 23 March 2014

Tropical Depression 04W (CALOY) has intensified slightly as it passed very close to the south of Siargao Island...now traversing Surigao City...expected to weaken within the next 12 to 24 hours.

04W (Caloy) will slightly enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 50 kph) across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region and Northern Visayas this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Northern and NE Mindanao and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of TD 04W (Caloy).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT...

Location: In between the coasts of Siargao Island and Surigao Del Norte (near 9.7N 125.7E)
About: 25 km east-southeast of Surigao City...or 50 km west-southwest of Siargao Island
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of center): 5 to 100 mm [Slight to Heavy]
Size (in diameter): 280 km (Very Small)
Past Movement: WNW at 20 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-southwest at 17 kph
Towards: Surigao Del Norte-Bohol Area

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

04W (Caloy) is expected to move westward within the next 12 hours with a slight dip towards the west-southwest through 36 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD 04W (Caloy) will traverse Surigao Del Norte early tonight and enter Bohol Sea - passing in between Camiguin and Bohol after midnight tonight. On Sunday early morning, 04W will be just along the southern coast of Bohol and shall traverse Southern Negros - passing over or very close to Dumaguete City by late Sunday morning...and just along the southwest coast of Negros Sunday afternoon. TD 04W shall be over the Sulu Sea early Monday morning.

04W (Caloy) is expected to maintain its strength as it traverses Surigao Del Norte and Southern Visayas...and could dissipate into an area of low pressure off Sulu Sea on Monday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph during the next 36 hours.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Weakening along the southwest coast of Negros...about 65 km W of Dumaguete City, Negros Oriental [2PM MAR 23: 9.4N 124.3E @ 55kph].

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

NORTHERN CARAGA / NORTHERN PART OF NORTHERN MINDANAO / EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SAMAR / SIARGAO AND DINAGAT ISLANDS / LEYTE / REST OF BOHOL / CAMIGUIN: Moderate to heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm will be experienced tonight until Sunday morning...becoming heavy rains of 50-100 mm across the provinces of Surigao Del Norte, Southern Leyte, Camiguin Island, and Southeastern Bohol. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat Mar 22, 2014
Class/Name: TD 04W (Caloy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 9.7º N Lat 125.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 25 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 2: 50 km WSW of Siargao Island
Distance 3: 90 km NNE of Butuan City
Distance 4: 125 km SE of Maasin City
Distance 5: 210 km E of Tagbilaran City
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 04W (CALOY)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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TD 04W (CALOY) Update #001

for Saturday, 22 March 2014 [12:43 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (CALOY) UPDATE NUMBER 001
Issued at: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Saturday 22 March 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Saturday 22 March 2014

The strong and broad disturbance (LPA) which has been lingering to the east of Mindanao is now a fully-developed Tropical Depression (TD), tagged as 04W, with local name CALOY...expected to cross Surigao Del Norte later tonight. Occasional moderate to heavy rains with gusty winds will be expected along the path of this cyclone.

04W (Caloy) will slightly enhance the cool surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy conditions w/ passing drizzles, slight to sometimes moderate rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 50 kph) across the eastern sections of Luzon including Bicol Region this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Northern and NE Mindanao and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of TD 04W (Caloy).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today...0300 GMT...

Location: Over the South Philippine Sea (near 9.3N 126.8E)
About: 100 km southeast of Siargao Island...or 155 km east-southeast of Surigao City
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of center): 5 to 100 mm [Slight to Heavy]
Size (in diameter): 280 km (Very Small)
Past Movement: W at 09 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-southwest at 11 kph
Towards: Surigao Del Norte-Bohol Sea Area

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

04W (Caloy) is expected to move westward within the next 12 hours with a dip towards the west-southwest through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of TD 04W (Caloy) will traverse Surigao Del Norte later tonight and enter Bohol Sea - passing in between Camiguin and Bohol by early Sunday morning. On Sunday afternoon, 04W will pass along the southern coast of Negros very near Dumaguete City and shall be off the Sulu Sea on Monday morning.

04W (Caloy) is expected to maintain its strength as it traverses Surigao Del Norte and Southern Visayas...and could dissipate as an area of low pressure off Sulu Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph on Monday morning.

The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:

SUNDAY MORNING: Off Bohol Sea...about 75 km SE of Tagbilaran City, Bohol [8AM MAR 23: 9.3N 124.4E @ 45kph].
MONDAY MORNING: Weakened into an area of low pressure off Sulu Sea...about 195 km SE of Puerto Princesa, Palawan [8AM MAR 24: 8.5N 120.0E @ 35kph].

CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.

NORTHERN CARAGA / NORTHERN PART OF NORTHERN MINDANAO / EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SAMAR / LEYTE / BOHOL / CAMIGUIN: Moderate to heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm will be experienced today until Sunday morning...becoming heavy rains of 50-100 mm across the provinces of Surigao Del Norte, Southern Leyte, Siargao and Dinagat Islands. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against flashfloods and landslides.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sat Mar 22, 2014
Class/Name: TD 04W (Caloy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 9.3º N Lat 126.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 100 km SE of Siargao Island
Distance 2: 150 km ENE of Butuan City
Distance 3: 155 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 4: 260 km SE of Maasin City
Distance 5: 330 km ESE of Tagbilaran City
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 04W (CALOY)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Bushman's Typhoon Blog

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Ex-TD 04W (CALOY) Final Update

Saturday, March 22, 2014

TD 04W (CALOY) Update #002

TD 04W (CALOY) Update #001

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