Bushman's Typhoon Blog: May 2009

Saturday, May 09, 2009

TD CHAN-HOM (EMONG) - Final Update

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHAN-HOM [EMONG/02W/0902]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 09 MAY 2009
Source: US JTWC WARNING #022/T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for supplemental information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

CHAN-HOM (EMONG) DOWNGRADED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...MOVING EAST

ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE SEA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CHAN-HOM is expected weaken into a Tropical Disturbance

(LPA) within the next 6 to 12 hours and dissipate early tomorrow morning.

+ EFFECTS: CHAN-HOM's circulation becoming more disorganized...scattered

rainclouds and thunderstorms remains over the Philippine Sea which is a

part of Chan-Hom's poor circulation.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) SAT 09 MAY 2009
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.2º N...LONGITUDE 127.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 615 KM (332 NM) EAST OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 630 KM (340 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: EAST @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW WUNDER TRACKMAP (FOR PUBLIC): 2 AM PST SAT MAY 09
VIEW JTWC TRACKMAP (FOR SHIPPING): 18Z SAT MAY 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A.

12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 MAY: 17.5N 128.3E / 45-65 KPH / NE @ 11 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 10 MAY: 18.4N 129.2E / 35-55 KPH / .. @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 09 MAY POSITION: 16.9N 127.2E.

>> CHAN-HOM, meaning: A kind of tree. Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 2 AM (18 GMT) 09 MAY: 18.2N 128.9E / NE @ 11 KPH / 55 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

__________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD CHAN-HOM (EMONG)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Friday, May 08, 2009

CHAN-HOM (EMONG) weakens...now over the Philippine Seal... [Update #004]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004

Name: TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM [EMONG/02W/0902]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) FRI 08 MAY 2009
Source: US JTWC WARNING #018/T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for supplemental information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

CHAN-HOM (EMONG) WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM AFTER CROSSING THE

MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF NORTHERN LUZON...NOW REORGANIZING OVER THE

PHILIPPINE SEA.

*Residents and visitors along Isabela and Cagayan should closely monitor the progress of CHAN-HOM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CHAN-HOM is expected to turn NE to Northward over

the Philippine Sea within the next 24 hours and accelerate to the NNW

on Sunday May 10.

+ EFFECTS: CHAN-HOM's circulation has become better organized while
over the Philippine Sea east of Aurora. The low-level circulation has

return to sea and is trying to align with the mid-level circulation.

This system is no longer affecting any part of the Philippines. Its

Southwestern outermost bands is currently affecting Central and

Southern Bicol - bringing scattered rains and thunderstorms.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) FRI 08 MAY 2009
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.5º N...LONGITUDE 124.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 270 KM (145 NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 330 KM (178 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 355 KM (190 NM) NNE OF NAGA CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 445 KM (240 NM) NE OF MANILA, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL STORM
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 1-3 FEET (0.3-0.9 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 982 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: EAST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKMAP (FOR PUBLIC): 6 AM PST FRI MAY 08
VIEW JTWC TRACKMAP (FOR SHIPPING): 00Z FRI MAY 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NOW LOWERED.

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 08 MAY: 17.2N 125.1E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 11 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 09 MAY: 17.9N 126.0E / 95-120 KPH / NNE @ 11 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 10 MAY: 20.7N 126.1E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 11 MAY: 23.0N 125.4E / 75-95 KPH / NNW @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 08 MAY POSITION: 16.9N 123.5E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (CHAN-HOM) HAS TRACKED OVER LUZON IN THE
PAST 12 HOURS. THE PREVIOUS 072100Z FORECAST HAD TS 02W FINALLED AS
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH ALL OBSERVATIONS INDICATING THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAD BEEN SHEARED AWAY FROM THE MID TO
UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE LLCC WAS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEAST
ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF LUZON. TS 02W HAS RECENTLY CROSSED
OVER LUZON INTO A FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WITH GOOD INFLOW,
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A WELL DEFINED LLCC THAT HAS RE-
DEVELOPED TO THE SURFACE. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND
A 072209Z QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT TS 02W HAS REFORMED THE LLCC
ON THE LEESIDE OF LUZON AND BASED ON THIS DATA JTWC HAS RESUMED
WARNINGS ON TS 02W. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION RE-
CONSOLIDATING OVER THE LLCC WITH STRONG GRADIENT INDUCED WINDS ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY PROVIDING A STRONG INFLOW TO THE LLCC IN THAT
QUADRANT, WITH ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FROM COASTAL FUNNELING OF THE
SURFACE WINDS INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. CURRENT FORECAST HAS TS
02W TRACKING TO THE EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL
NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGING LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF TS 02W...(more)

>> CHAN-HOM, meaning: A kind of tree. Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 AM (02 GMT) 08 MAY: 17.6N 123.8E / ENE @ 15 KPH / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY CHAN-HOM (EMONG)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Typhoon CHAN-HOM (EMONG) makes landfall... [Update #003]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003

Name: TYPHOON CHAN-HOM [EMONG/02W/0902]

Issued: 1:00 AM MANILA TIME (17:00 GMT) FRI 08 MAY 2009
Source: US JTWC WARNING #017/T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for supplemental information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (EMONG) RAPIDLY ACCELERATED AND MADE LANDFALL EARLIER

THAN EXPECTED OVER LA UNION...QUICKLY LOSING STRENGTH AS IT TRAVERSES

CORDILLERA MOUNTAINS...NOW OFF IFUGAO.

*Residents and visitors along Isabela and Cagayan should closely monitor the progress of CHAN-HOM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CHAN-HOM is expected to move into Isabela province
after midnight...and shall move out into the Philippine Sea, exiting

via Palanan Bay, Isabela this Friday morning. It shall gradually weaken

into a weak Tropical Storm.

+ EFFECTS: CHAN-HOM's disorganized circulation currently crossing the

Cordilleras...Its rainbands will continue to spread rains and winds

across Northern & Central Luzon...Outer bands continues to spread

across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region..

expected to bring moderate to heavy rains with winds & squalls plus

thunderstorms. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can

be along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up

to 300 mm near the center of CHAN-HOM. Residents in low-lying areas

& steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-

threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated

heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must

be initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (NE) Monsoon temporarily

enhanced by CHAN-HOM continues to affect Western Visayas and Palawan

tonight, as the system moves crosses Northern Luzon. Cloudy skies with

possible passing drizzle to occasional rains and thunderstorms/squalls

w/ SW'ly winds not exceeding 50 km/hr is possible on these areas begi-

nning today until Saturday. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows

(lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along

steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone

areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile, I.T.C.Z (aka. Monsoon Trough)

affecting parts of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. It shall bring wide-

spread scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the

afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 12:00 AM MANILA TIME (16:00 GMT) FRI 08 MAY 2009
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.0º N...LONGITUDE 121.3º E
DISTANCE 1: OVER IFUGAO-MT. PROVINCE BORDER
DISTANCE 2: 80 KM (43 NM) SW OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 100 KM (55 NM) NE OF BAGUIO CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 155 KM (83 NM) NE OF DAGUPAN CITY, PH

DISTANCE 5: 115 KM (63 NM) SE OF VIGAN CITY, PH

DISTANCE 6: 125 KM (67 NM) NW OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH

DISTANCE 7: 280 KM (150 NM) NORTH OF MANILA, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ISABELA-CAGAYAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKMAP (FOR PUBLIC): 8 PM PST THU MAY 07
VIEW JTWC TRACKMAP (FOR SHIPPING): 12Z THU MAY 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:

#03 - PANGASINAN, NORTHERN ZAMBALES, TARLAC, NUEVA VIZCAYA, BENGUET,
      LA UNION, ILOCOS PROVINCES, IFUGAO, MT. PROVINCE, KALINGA,
      APAYAO, AND ABRA.
#02 - REST OF ZAMBALES, PAMPANGA, NUEVA ECIJA, QUIRINO, ISABELA,
      CAGAYAN, BABUYAN AND BATANES.
#01 - METRO MANILA, LUBANG ISLAND, BATAAN, BULACAN, CAVITE, RIZAL,
      NORTHERN QUEZON, AND AURORA.

12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 08 MAY: 17.0N 121.4E / 95-120 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH

8 PM (12 GMT) 08 MAY: 17.7N 122.8E / 65-85 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 07 MAY POSITION: 16.5N 120.2E.
^...(more)

>> CHAN-HOM, meaning: A kind of tree. Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 PM (14 GMT) 07 MAY: 16.7N 120.4E / NE @ 19 KPH / 150 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY CHAN-HOM (EMONG)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__._,_.___

Messages in this topic (1) Reply (via web post) | Start a new topic

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Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch format to Traditional
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Bushman's Typhoon Blog

Saturday, May 09, 2009

TD CHAN-HOM (EMONG) - Final Update

Friday, May 08, 2009

CHAN-HOM (EMONG) weakens...now over the Philippine Seal... [Update #004]

Typhoon CHAN-HOM (EMONG) makes landfall... [Update #003]

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