Friday, October 03, 2008

TD HIGOS (PABLO) now off Eastern Hainan... [Update #006]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION HIGOS [PABLO/21W/0817] 
Issued: 12:00 AM MANILA TIME (16:00 GMT) SAT 04 OCTOBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #018
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HIGOS (PABLO) DISSIPATING AS IT PASSES OVER THE
EASTERN PART OF HAINAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HIGOS is expected to move into Western Guangdong,
China tomorrow morning. It shall then completely over main land China
tomorrow evening.

+ EFFECTS: HIGOS' dying circulation remains over Hainan Island. Scattered
showers can be expected over the whole island as the system passes by.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 PM HONG KONG TIME (15:00 GMT) FRI 03 OCT 2008 
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 110.8º
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30
NM) NE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN ISLAND 
DISTANCE 2: 75 KM (40 NM) SE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN ISLAND 
DISTANCE 3: 195 KM (105 NM) SSE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 465 KM (251 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA 
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 390 KM (210 NM)/
AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 
8 PM MANILA TIME FRI OCT 3
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

12, 24, 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 25.0N 110.3E / 45-65 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 21.5N 110.2E / 35-55 KPH / NNE @ 09 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 05 OCTOBER: 23.0N 111.5E / 35-55 KPH / --- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 03 OCTOBER POSITION: 19.3N 110.9E.
^OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTY
AS IT TRACKED POLEWARD AT 08 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF
THE LOW LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. RECENT ANIMATED
METSAT IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WHICH HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED, AND APPEARS TO BE TRACKING NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE WANING CONVECTION WHICH IS BEING SHEARED
TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. A 031030Z WINDSAT IMAGE CONFIRMS THESE
CHARACTERISTICS, AND SHOWS CURVED BANDING CONVERGING ON AN ILL-DEFINED
CENTER. THE MODEL TRACKERS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH DIFFERENCES
EXISTING IN THE TIMING OF THE RECURVATURE
...
(more)

>> HIGOS, meaning: A Chamorro word for "Fig." Name contributed by: 
   United States of America
.

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
      signals, visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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>
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