Wednesday, February 20, 2008

T2K Philippine Tropical Outlook [for week Feb 18-24, 2008]


Typhoon2000 Philippine Tropical Outlook
For Week: FEBRUARY 18-24, 2008 [MONDAY TO SUNDAY] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 16 FEBRUARY 2008
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SAT 23 FEBRUARY

[1] Continued chance of above-average rainfall for portions of Central
& Southern Philippines.
The enhanced wet-phase of MJO & the ongoing La Niña
are expected to support a favorable large-scale environment for convection &
rainfall. Above average sea surface temperatures in some areas will also
contribute to enhance rainfall. Confidence: HIGH.

[2] The passage of Mid-Latitude Frontal System over Southern Japan
& strong High Pressure Area over China may bring strong & cool north-
easterly winds accompanied with some rainshowers along Northern
& Central Philippines (from Batanes down to Bicol & Northern Visayas).

This wind system is commonly known as the Northeast (NE) Monsoon which
started in November and ends in March.
Confidence: HIGH.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above weekly tropical forecast outlook, does
not guarantee 100% accuracy! Errors & changes can happen 
within the designated outlook week.

> This outlook is issued for planners every Saturday. The next Outlook will 
  be issued on February 23, 2008.

Sources: NOAA Global Benefits/Hazards Assessment & Various Numerical Computer Models
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

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