for Saturday, 18 July 2009 [12:35 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 17 2009):
Currently issuing 3-hrly SMS & Web Updates and 6-hrly E-mail Updates on the Typhoon MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). ISANG is now internationally known as MOLAVE, a native filipino tree - after Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded and named the system.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
TYPHOON MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 012
12:00 AM PST (16:00 GMT) Sat 18 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / CWB RADAR/ JTWC WARNING #010
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon MOLAVE (ISANG) resumes its WNW track, faster across the Balintang Channel & away from Extreme Northern Luzon...back side of the storm still buffeting Extreme Northern Luzon with strong winds and rains.
*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving WNW exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this morning. The 2-day short-range forecast shows MOLAVE making landfall just to the ENE of Hong Kong this Saturday evening. MOLAVE is forecast to rapidly dissipate upon moving across the mountainous terrain of Guangdong, China on Sunday, July 19.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's core (Eye & Eyewall) has left Extreme Northern Luzon and is now traversing the Balintang Channel. Its eastern inner bands affecting Extreme Northern Luzon...Widespread rains and winds of 60-100 kph can be expected. Meanwhile, the outer bands of MOLAVE remains across Northwestern Luzon and Southern Taiwan. Rains and winds of 30-60 kph can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm along MOLAVE's Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible near the center of MOLAVE. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Northern & Eastern Luzon, including the monsoon affected areas.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with occasional to continuous moderate to heavy rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, MINDORO, WESTERN LUZON including METRO MANILA. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 AM PST Sat July 18 2009
Location of Eye: 21.0º N Lat 120.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 205 km (110 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 180 km (97 nm) WNW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 180 km (97 nm) South of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 4: 315 km (170 nm) NNW of Laoag City
Distance 5: 625 km (338 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (65 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 30 kph (16 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 850 km (460 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Fri July 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 12Z Fri July 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 PM Fri July 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BATANES GROUP, ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, NORTHERN CAGAYAN, BABUYAN, AND CALAYAN GROUP.
The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: REST OF CAGAYAN, KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, AND ILOCOS SUR.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 JULY: 22.0N 118.4E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 18 JULY: 23.0N 115.7E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 19 JULY: 24.8N 110.5E / 45-65 KPH / ... @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 17 JULY POSITION: 20.6N 121.2E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (MOLAVE) HAS STARTED TO ACCELERATE
TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TRACK SPEED FROM 09 KNOTS TO ITS
CURRENT SPEED OF 16 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TS 07W HAS SEEN A
RAPID INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY FROM 45 TO 60 KNOTS AND ORGANIZATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A 171005Z
QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THAT
TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AROUND THE LLCC. DEEP
CONVECTION REMAINS PREDOMINANTLY ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF TS 07W,
HOWEVER, INFLOW ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY HAS TEMPORARILY BEEN
HAMPERED DUE TO THE LAND INTERACTION WITH LUZON. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT TS 07W REMAINS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRON-
MENT AND CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW. INCREASED INTER-
ACTION WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS THE
PREDOMINANT FACTOR IN THE RECENT INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED AND SLIGHT
SHIFT IN DIRECTION TO A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IN THE PAST 03
HOURS...(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 PM (14 GMT) 17 JULY: 20.9N 121.1E / WNW @ 17 kph / 95 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 3-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ISANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 17 2009):
Currently issuing 3-hrly SMS & Web Updates and 6-hrly E-mail Updates on the Typhoon MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). ISANG is now internationally known as MOLAVE, a native filipino tree - after Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded and named the system.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
TYPHOON MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 012
12:00 AM PST (16:00 GMT) Sat 18 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / CWB RADAR/ JTWC WARNING #010
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving WNW exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this morning. The 2-day short-range forecast shows MOLAVE making landfall just to the ENE of Hong Kong this Saturday evening. MOLAVE is forecast to rapidly dissipate upon moving across the mountainous terrain of Guangdong, China on Sunday, July 19.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's core (Eye & Eyewall) has left Extreme Northern Luzon and is now traversing the Balintang Channel. Its eastern inner bands affecting Extreme Northern Luzon...Widespread rains and winds of 60-100 kph can be expected. Meanwhile, the outer bands of MOLAVE remains across Northwestern Luzon and Southern Taiwan. Rains and winds of 30-60 kph can be expected along the outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm along MOLAVE's Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 AM PST Sat July 18 2009
Location of Eye: 21.0º N Lat 120.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 205 km (110 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 180 km (97 nm) WNW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 180 km (97 nm) South of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 4: 315 km (170 nm) NNW of Laoag City
Distance 5: 625 km (338 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (65 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 30 kph (16 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 850 km (460 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 ft (4.8 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Fri July 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 12Z Fri July 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 PM Fri July 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BATANES GROUP, ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, NORTHERN CAGAYAN, BABUYAN, AND CALAYAN GROUP.
The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: REST OF CAGAYAN, KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, AND ILOCOS SUR.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 JULY: 22.0N 118.4E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 18 JULY: 23.0N 115.7E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 19 JULY: 24.8N 110.5E / 45-65 KPH / ... @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 17 JULY POSITION: 20.6N 121.2E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (MOLAVE) HAS STARTED TO ACCELERATE
TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TRACK SPEED FROM 09 KNOTS TO ITS
CURRENT SPEED OF 16 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TS 07W HAS SEEN A
RAPID INCREASE IN THE INTENSITY FROM 45 TO 60 KNOTS AND ORGANIZATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A 171005Z
QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THAT
TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AROUND THE LLCC. DEEP
CONVECTION REMAINS PREDOMINANTLY ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF TS 07W,
HOWEVER, INFLOW ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY HAS TEMPORARILY BEEN
HAMPERED DUE TO THE LAND INTERACTION WITH LUZON. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT TS 07W REMAINS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRON-
MENT AND CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW. INCREASED INTER-
ACTION WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS THE
PREDOMINANT FACTOR IN THE RECENT INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED AND SLIGHT
SHIFT IN DIRECTION TO A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IN THE PAST 03
HOURS...(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 PM (14 GMT) 17 JULY: 20.9N 121.1E / WNW @ 17 kph / 95 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY MOLAVE (ISANG/07W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.
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