for Sunday, 12 July 2009 [6:07 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun July 12 2009):
Continuing the 6-hrly E-Mail & Web Updates on TS SOUDELOR [GORIO] (except 12:00 AM).
SOUDELOR (GORIO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM SOUDELOR [GORIO/05W/0905]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008
As of 6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 12 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm SOUDELOR (GORIO) now passing along the Qiongzhou Strait or off the Northern Coast of Hainan Island...Heavy rains pouring across the island.
*Residents and visitors along the Gulf of Tonkin and Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of SOUDELOR.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: SOUDELOR is expected to track across the Gulf of Tonkin later today and make landfall over Northern Vietnam tomorrow morning or afternoon. The system shall weaken rapidly and dissipate tomorrow evening.
+ Effects: SOUDELOR's circulation remains compact with its rain bands spreading across Hainan Island and Southwestern China, and is now affecting the Gulf of Tonkin and the coast of Northern Vietnan. Moderate to heavy rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 250 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ light to moderate to sometimes heavy occasional rains with thunderstorms and squalls plus moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO & PORTIONS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) still trying to organize over the Philippine Sea...now located near lat 18.9N lon 126.9E...or about 570 km East of Calayan Island, Cagayan...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting NW while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
(2) Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) has become disorganized during the past 12 hours...now located near lat 8.4N lon 137.1E...or about 1,190 km East of Northern Mindanao or 165 km SW of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...currently drifting Westward slowly and is currently embedded within the eastern extent of the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
These systems will be closely monitored for possible development into Significant Tropical Cyclones within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun July 12 2009
Location of Center: 20.1º N Lat 110.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 40 km (22 nm) East of Haikou, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 100 km (55 nm) North of Qionghai, Hainan Is.
Distance 3: 135 km (73 nm) SSE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 430 km (233 nm) WSW of Hong Kong
Distance 5: 520 km (280 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 28 kph (15 kts)
General Direction: Leizhou-Hainan Area
Size (in Diameter): 405 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun July 12
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Sat July 11
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Sun July 12
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 JULY: 20.2N 109.7E / 55-75 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun July 12 2009):
Continuing the 6-hrly E-Mail & Web Updates on TS SOUDELOR [GORIO] (except 12:00 AM).
SOUDELOR (GORIO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM SOUDELOR [GORIO/05W/0905]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 008
As of 6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 12 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Gulf of Tonkin and Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of SOUDELOR.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: SOUDELOR is expected to track across the Gulf of Tonkin later today and make landfall over Northern Vietnam tomorrow morning or afternoon. The system shall weaken rapidly and dissipate tomorrow evening.
+ Effects: SOUDELOR's circulation remains compact with its rain bands spreading across Hainan Island and Southwestern China, and is now affecting the Gulf of Tonkin and the coast of Northern Vietnan. Moderate to heavy rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 250 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ light to moderate to sometimes heavy occasional rains with thunderstorms and squalls plus moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO & PORTIONS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) still trying to organize over the Philippine Sea...now located near lat 18.9N lon 126.9E...or about 570 km East of Calayan Island, Cagayan...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting NW while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
(2) Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) has become disorganized during the past 12 hours...now located near lat 8.4N lon 137.1E...or about 1,190 km East of Northern Mindanao or 165 km SW of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...currently drifting Westward slowly and is currently embedded within the eastern extent of the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
These systems will be closely monitored for possible development into Significant Tropical Cyclones within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun July 12 2009
Location of Center: 20.1º N Lat 110.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 40 km (22 nm) East of Haikou, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 100 km (55 nm) North of Qionghai, Hainan Is.
Distance 3: 135 km (73 nm) SSE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 430 km (233 nm) WSW of Hong Kong
Distance 5: 520 km (280 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 28 kph (15 kts)
General Direction: Leizhou-Hainan Area
Size (in Diameter): 405 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun July 12
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Sat July 11
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Sun July 12
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 JULY: 20.2N 109.7E / 55-75 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 13 JULY: 20.4N 107.6E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 13 JULY: 20.6N 105.8E / 35-55 KPH / . @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 12 JULY POSITION: 20.0N 112.0E.
^RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION FLARING NEAR THE
CENTER AND QUICKLY BECOMING SHEARED OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE WEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. THE
SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BASED ON AN 35 KT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM PGTW AND FROM AN 1104Z QUIKSCAT PASS THAT
SHOWS A LARGE REGION OF 30-35 KT UNFLAGGED WINDS WRAPPING AROUND A
WELL DEFINED LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS
BECOMING SUBJECTED TO INCREASING AMOUNTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS
IT NEARS THE TROPICAL EASTERLY JET. TS 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO TRACK WESTWARD AS IT WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR
TO THE NORTH AND IT WILL WEAKEN AS IT PASSES NEAR HAINAN ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO BE SUBJECTED TO INCREASING AMOUNTS OF VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR...(more)
>> SOUDELOR, meaning: A legendary Pohnpei Chief. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 12 JULY POSITION: 20.0N 112.0E.
^RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION FLARING NEAR THE
CENTER AND QUICKLY BECOMING SHEARED OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE WEST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. THE
SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM BASED ON AN 35 KT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM PGTW AND FROM AN 1104Z QUIKSCAT PASS THAT
SHOWS A LARGE REGION OF 30-35 KT UNFLAGGED WINDS WRAPPING AROUND A
WELL DEFINED LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS
BECOMING SUBJECTED TO INCREASING AMOUNTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS
IT NEARS THE TROPICAL EASTERLY JET. TS 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO TRACK WESTWARD AS IT WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STR
TO THE NORTH AND IT WILL WEAKEN AS IT PASSES NEAR HAINAN ISLAND AND
CONTINUES TO BE SUBJECTED TO INCREASING AMOUNTS OF VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR...(more)
>> SOUDELOR, meaning: A legendary Pohnpei Chief. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
____________
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS SOUDELOR (GORIO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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