for Saturday, 18 July 2009 [5:35 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat July 18 2009):
Ending the 6-hrly SMS Updates on MOLAVE (ISANG)...Currently issuing 6-hrly Web and E-mail Updates on Typhoon MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). Meanwhile, a rapidly developing Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) has been spotted over the Philippine Sea, east of Northern Samar, more details below.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
TYPHOON MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 015
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 18 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / HKO TC WARNING & RADAR
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon MOLAVE (ISANG) slightly gained strength as it moves closer to Hong Kong. Landfall near Hong Kong expected early tomorrow between 2 to 5 AM.
*Residents and visitors along Southern China especially Guangdong Province should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
**Important Note: Residents of Hong Kong must take precautionary measures, as Strong Wind Signal No. 3 now in force...may be upgraded to Gale or Storm Wind Signal No. 8 later tonight. Kindly check out Hong Kong Observatory's bulletin for more details.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving West to WNW and shall make landfall in the vicinity of Hong Kong early tomorrow morning. MOLAVE is forecast to rapidly dissipate tomorrow, July 19 as it moves overland, across the mountainous terrain of Guangdong, China.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's core (Eye & Eyewall) remains over the South China Sea near the coast of Guangdong. Its inner rainbands remains offshore, while its outer rainbands has been continually spreading across Central Guangdong including HK and Macau. Rains and winds of 30-60 kph can be expected along the outer bands with deteriorating conditions later tonight as the inner rainbands and core approaches Central Guangdong (HK-Macau District). 1-day rainfall accumulations of 25 up to 75 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm along MOLAVE's Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible near the center of MOLAVE. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of NW Luzon and Coastal Guangdong, including the monsoon affected areas.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with occasional to continuous moderate to heavy rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: SOUTH CHINA SEA & THE COASTAL AREAS OF ZAMBALES AND PANGASINAN. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) The new Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) has become a little disorganized while over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 12.4N lon 131.6E...or about 760 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...drifting West slowly while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 2 to 3 days. Watch for more information on this new disturbance as new data arrives. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat July 18 2009
Location of Center: 22.0º N Lat 116.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km (140 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
Distance 2: 330 km (178 nm) East of Macau
Distance 3: 155 km (83 nm) South of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 375 km (202 nm) WSW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 5: 575 km (310 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 130 kph (70 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 160 kph (85 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Hong Kong Area
Size (in Diameter): 650 km (350 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
HKO TrackMap (for Public): Real-Time
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sat July 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 PM Sat July 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 JULY: 22.4N 114.8E / 95-120 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 JULY: 22.6N 111.9E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 JULY: 22.6N 109.9E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 18 JULY POSITION: 21.7N 117.2E.
^ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE STORM HAS
LOST SOME OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FEEDER BANDS
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE NORTHERN RIM OF THE
CYCLONE APPEARS TO BE FLATTENING OUT, AN INDICATION THAT IT MAY NOW
BE ENCOUNTERING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS. TS 07W IS TRACKING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY, RADAR LOOP FROM TAIWAN, AND AN EXTRAPOLATION OF A 180204Z
AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THEN MAKE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG BY TAU 12...(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat July 18 2009):
Ending the 6-hrly SMS Updates on MOLAVE (ISANG)...Currently issuing 6-hrly Web and E-mail Updates on Typhoon MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). Meanwhile, a rapidly developing Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) has been spotted over the Philippine Sea, east of Northern Samar, more details below.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
TYPHOON MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 015
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 18 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / HKO TC WARNING & RADAR
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern China especially Guangdong Province should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
**Important Note: Residents of Hong Kong must take precautionary measures, as Strong Wind Signal No. 3 now in force...may be upgraded to Gale or Storm Wind Signal No. 8 later tonight. Kindly check out Hong Kong Observatory'
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving West to WNW and shall make landfall in the vicinity of Hong Kong early tomorrow morning. MOLAVE is forecast to rapidly dissipate tomorrow, July 19 as it moves overland, across the mountainous terrain of Guangdong, China.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's core (Eye & Eyewall) remains over the South China Sea near the coast of Guangdong. Its inner rainbands remains offshore, while its outer rainbands has been continually spreading across Central Guangdong including HK and Macau. Rains and winds of 30-60 kph can be expected along the outer bands with deteriorating conditions later tonight as the inner rainbands and core approaches Central Guangdong (HK-Macau District). 1-day rainfall accumulations of 25 up to 75 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm along MOLAVE's Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) The new Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) has become a little disorganized while over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 12.4N lon 131.6E...or about 760 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...drifting West slowly while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 2 to 3 days. Watch for more information on this new disturbance as new data arrives. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat July 18 2009
Location of Center: 22.0º N Lat 116.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 260 km (140 nm) ESE of Hong Kong
Distance 2: 330 km (178 nm) East of Macau
Distance 3: 155 km (83 nm) South of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 375 km (202 nm) WSW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 5: 575 km (310 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 130 kph (70 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 160 kph (85 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Hong Kong Area
Size (in Diameter): 650 km (350 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
HKO TrackMap (for Public): Real-Time
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sat July 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 PM Sat July 18
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 JULY: 22.4N 114.8E / 95-120 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 JULY: 22.6N 111.9E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 JULY: 22.6N 109.9E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 18 JULY POSITION: 21.7N 117.2E.
^ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE STORM HAS
LOST SOME OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FEEDER BANDS
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, THE NORTHERN RIM OF THE
CYCLONE APPEARS TO BE FLATTENING OUT, AN INDICATION THAT IT MAY NOW
BE ENCOUNTERING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS. TS 07W IS TRACKING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY, RADAR LOOP FROM TAIWAN, AND AN EXTRAPOLATION OF A 180204Z
AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS WITH A HIGH DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, KNES, AND RJTD.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THEN MAKE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG BY TAU 12...(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY MOLAVE (ISANG)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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