for Friday, 17 July 2009 [6:57 PM PST]
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 3-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ISANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 17 2009):
Currently issuing 3-hrly SMS & Web Updates and 6-hrly E-mail Updates on the Typhoon MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). ISANG is now internationally known as MOLAVE, a native filipino tree - after Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded and named the system.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
TYPHOON MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Fri 17 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / CWB RADAR/ JTWC WARNING #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
MOLAVE (ISANG) becomes the 4th Typhoon of the 2009 Western Pacific Season...fully-developed EYE and its EYEWALL now passing very close to Basco, Batanes...Strong winds and heavy rains Extreme Northern Luzon.
*Residents and visitors along Extreme Southern Taiwan & Southern China should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving NW to NNW under the steering influence of a low-to-mid-level high pressure east-northeast of the storm. It is expected to move away from Batanes Group in the next few hours. The 3-day medium-range forecast shows MOLAVE moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning (Saturday) July 18. The storm shall accelerate NW or WNW, weakening into a Tropical Storm and making landfall north of Hong Kong on Sunday afternoon, July 19. Dissipation of MOLAVE is forecast along the mountainous terrain of China on Monday, July 20.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's core (Eye & Eyewall) is expected to bring stormy weather w/ Typhoon force winds of up to 150 kph over Batanes and Babuyan Islands tonight. Its inner bands spreading across Calayan Islands...Widespread rains and winds from 60-100 kph can be expected. Meanwhile, the outer bands of MOLAVE remains across Northern Luzon and is now approaching Southern Taiwan. Rains and winds of 30-60 kph can be expected along the outerbands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm along MOLAVE's Eyewall. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible near the center of MOLAVE. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Northern & Eastern Luzon, including the monsoon affected areas.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with occasional to continuous moderate to heavy rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, MINDORO, WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, WESTERN BICOL, & METRO MANILA. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Fri July 17 2009
Location of Eye: 20.4º N Lat 121.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 15 km (08 nm) WSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 45 km (25 nm) South of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 125 km (68 nm) NNE of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 225 km (122 nm) North of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 290 km (155 nm) SSE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 6: 400 km (215 nm) South of Hualien, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (65 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Southern Coast of Taiwan
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Fri July 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Fri July 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Fri July 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BATANES GROUP, ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, NORTHERN CAGAYAN, BABUYAN, AND CALAYAN GROUP.
The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: REST OF CAGAYAN, KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, AND ILOCOS SUR.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 JULY: 20.5N 120.5E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 JULY: 21.5N 118.5E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 JULY: 23.5N 113.4E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 22 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (06 GMT) 17 JULY POSITION: 19.5N 122.5E.
^TS 07W CONTINUES TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN
EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF TS
07W. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) HAS QUICKLY BECOME ORGANIZED WITH TIGHTLY CURVED
BANDING DEVELOPING TOWARD THE LLCC. AS TS 07W TRACKS TO THE NORTH
OF LUZON, THE INFLOW OF RELATIVELY DRIER AIR (APPARENT IN TOTAL PRECI-
PITABLE WATER PRODUCTS) HAS LED TO A DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION ON
THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. HOWEVER, THIS HAS BEEN OFFSET BY IN-
CREASED DEEP CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS STILL INDICATES STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS PRESENT.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND THE
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT (OHC) PRODUCTS INDICATE THERE IS A LARGE REGION
OF DEEP, WARM WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN HELPING TO FUEL A BRIEF
PERIOD OF RAPID DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE OHC WILL DECREASE AS TS
07W TRACKS INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
IN ASSOCIATION WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND 36 HOURS AND
QUICKLY BEGIN TO DISSIPATE, WITH FULL DISSIPATION BY 72 HOURS....(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 17 JULY: 19.6N 122.2E / WNW @ 15 kph / 95 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 3-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ISANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 17 2009):
Currently issuing 3-hrly SMS & Web Updates and 6-hrly E-mail Updates on the Typhoon MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). ISANG is now internationally known as MOLAVE, a native filipino tree - after Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded and named the system.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
TYPHOON MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Fri 17 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / CWB RADAR/ JTWC WARNING #009
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Extreme Southern Taiwan & Southern China should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving NW to NNW under the steering influence of a low-to-mid-level high pressure east-northeast of the storm. It is expected to move away from Batanes Group in the next few hours. The 3-day medium-range forecast shows MOLAVE moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning (Saturday) July 18. The storm shall accelerate NW or WNW, weakening into a Tropical Storm and making landfall north of Hong Kong on Sunday afternoon, July 19. Dissipation of MOLAVE is forecast along the mountainous terrain of China on Monday, July 20.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's core (Eye & Eyewall) is expected to bring stormy weather w/ Typhoon force winds of up to 150 kph over Batanes and Babuyan Islands tonight. Its inner bands spreading across Calayan Islands...Widesprea
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Fri July 17 2009
Location of Eye: 20.4º N Lat 121.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 15 km (08 nm) WSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 45 km (25 nm) South of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 125 km (68 nm) NNE of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 225 km (122 nm) North of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 290 km (155 nm) SSE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 6: 400 km (215 nm) South of Hualien, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph (65 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph (65 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 m]
Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Southern Coast of Taiwan
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Fri July 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Fri July 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Fri July 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BATANES GROUP, ILOCOS NORTE, APAYAO, NORTHERN CAGAYAN, BABUYAN, AND CALAYAN GROUP.
The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: REST OF CAGAYAN, KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, AND ILOCOS SUR.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 JULY: 20.5N 120.5E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 JULY: 21.5N 118.5E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 JULY: 23.5N 113.4E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 JULY: 25.7N 108.6E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (06 GMT) 17 JULY POSITION: 19.5N 122.5E.
^TS 07W CONTINUES TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN
EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF TS
07W. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) HAS QUICKLY BECOME ORGANIZED WITH TIGHTLY CURVED
BANDING DEVELOPING TOWARD THE LLCC. AS TS 07W TRACKS TO THE NORTH
OF LUZON, THE INFLOW OF RELATIVELY DRIER AIR (APPARENT IN TOTAL PRECI-
PITABLE WATER PRODUCTS) HAS LED TO A DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION ON
THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. HOWEVER, THIS HAS BEEN OFFSET BY IN-
CREASED DEEP CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS STILL INDICATES STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS PRESENT.
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND THE
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT (OHC) PRODUCTS INDICATE THERE IS A LARGE REGION
OF DEEP, WARM WATER BETWEEN LUZON AND TAIWAN HELPING TO FUEL A BRIEF
PERIOD OF RAPID DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE OHC WILL DECREASE AS TS
07W TRACKS INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND
IN ASSOCIATION WITH INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BEGIN TO
WEAKEN. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND 36 HOURS AND
QUICKLY BEGIN TO DISSIPATE, WITH FULL DISSIPATION BY 72 HOURS....(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 17 JULY: 19.6N 122.2E / WNW @ 15 kph / 95 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY MOLAVE (ISANG/07W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.
__._,_.___
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch format to Traditional
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
.
__,_._,___
No comments:
Post a Comment