Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD HUANING (92W)

for Sunday, 12 July 2009 [1:03 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun July 12 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly E-Mail, SMS & Web Updates on the new TD HUANING [92W] (except 12:00 AM).

SOUDELOR (GORIO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUANING [92W]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 001
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sun 12 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / PAGASA BULLETIN #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

The tropical disturbance (LPA) east of Northern Luzon has been upraded into Tropical Depression locally known as HUANING (92W)...threatens Batanes and Taiwan Area...currently enhancing the Southwest Monsoon across Western Philippines.

*Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of HUANING.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: HUANING is expected to continue tracking WNW to NW'ly and is expected to pass over Southern Taiwan tomorrow afternoon, and affect the Batanes Group of Islands beginning tomorrow.

+ Effects: HUANING's circulation continues to organize while over the Philippine Sea...its outer bands is expected to reach Extreme Northern Luzon tomorrow morning.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ light to moderate to sometimes heavy occasional rains with thunderstorms and squalls plus moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) somewhat a little disorganized over the Philippine Sea due to marginal shear...now located near lat 9.0N lon 136.2E...or about 1,175 km East of Surigao City or 215 km WSW of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting WNW slowly while embedded within the eastern extent of the broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun July 12 2009
Location of Center: 19.5º N Lat 126.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 450 km (243 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 495 km (267 nm) ENE of Calayan Island
Distance 3: 500 km (270 nm) ENE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 775 km (418 nm) SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 690 km (372 nm) SE of Hualien, Taiwan
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 70 kph (38 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
General Direction: Batanes-Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 350 km (190 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
PAGASA TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sun July 12
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sun July 12
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 55 kph beginning tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 13 JULY: 21.1N 122.9E

8 AM (00 GMT) 14 JULY: 23.3N 119.0E

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 12 JULY POSITION: 18.8N 126.8E.
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RECENT PAGASA TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD HUANING (92W)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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