Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD SOUDELOR (GORIO)

for Sunday, 12 July 2009 [12:16 PM PST]

<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun July 12 2009):

Continuing the 6-hrly E-Mail & Web Updates on TS SOUDELOR [GORIO] (except 12:00 AM).

SOUDELOR (GORIO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOUDELOR [GORIO/05W/0905]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 009
As of 12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sun 12 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #008
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

SOUDELOR (GORIO) downgraded into a Tropical Depression...currently traversing the Gulf of Tonkin. Landfall over Northern Vietnam expected early tomorrow.

*Residents and visitors along the Gulf of Tonkin and Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of SOUDELOR.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: SOUDELOR is expected to track across the Gulf of Tonkin and make landfall over Northern Vietnam early tomorrow morning. The system shall weaken rapidly and dissipate tomorrow evening.

+ Effects: SOUDELOR's circulation remains compact with its rain bands spreading across the southern part of Hainan Island, Gulf of Tonkin, and the coast of Northern Vietnan. Moderate to heavy rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 250 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun July 12 2009
Location of Center: 20.5º N Lat 109.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 105 km (57 nm) WNW of Haikou, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 135 km (73 nm) SW of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 3: 380 km (205 nm) ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Leizhou-Hainan Area
Size (in Diameter): 405 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sun July 12
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sun July 12
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sun July 12
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 12 JULY: 20.6N 108.1E / 55-75 KPH / W @ 17 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 13 JULY: 20.8N 106.2E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 13 KPH

8 PM (12 GMT) 13 JULY: 21.1N 104.7E / 35-55 KPH / . @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 12 JULY POSITION: 20.4N 110.4E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (SOUDELOR) HAS CONTINUED TO
TRACK WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO
MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE PHILIPPINE
SEA INTO CHINA. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE POSITION, ASSOCIATED
WITH THE PARTLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT
IN ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY. TD 05W HAS CONTINUED TO HAVE INCREASED
CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CURRENT INTENSITY HAS
DECREASED BY 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, BUT HAS BEEN STEADY
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE LOCATED OVER CHINA CONTINUES TO CAUSE THE
STRONG SHEARING OF CONVECTION AWAY FROM THE LLCC TO THE SOUTHWEST.
...(more)

>> SOUDELOR, meaning: A legendary Pohnpei Chief. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SOUDELOR (GORIO)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm