for Friday, 17 July 2009 [12:16 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 17 2009):
Currently issuing 3-hrly SMS & Web Updates and 6-hrly E-mail Updates on the TS MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). ISANG is now internationally known as MOLAVE, a native filipino tree - after Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded and named the system.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 010
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 17 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #008
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm MOLAVE (ISANG) resumed its WNW track...now approaching Calayan Group of Islands...expected to pass over the islands early this evening...Stormy weather across Northern Luzon...Heavy Monsoon Rains continues to affect Western Luzon and parts of Central Luzon, including Metro Manila.
*Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon & Southern China should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving WNW under the steering influence of a low-to-mid-level high pressure northeast of the storm which has been extending into Eastern China. The 3-day medium-range forecast shows MOLAVE passing over the Calayan Group of Islands tonight before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning (Saturday) July 18. The storm shall accelerate WNW, reaching its peak wind speed of 95 kph tomorrow and start weakening before it makes landfall north of Hong Kong on Sunday afternoon, July 19. Dissipation of MOLAVE is forecast along the mountainous terrain of Guangdong Province of China early Monday morning, July 20.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's improving main core (CDO) has started to move into the Balintang Channel near the coast of Northern Cagayan where its inner bands is located. Its southwestern outer bands continues to spread across Northern & portions of Central Luzon...Widespread rains and winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected along these bands, with increasing wind velocity of up to 100 kph near the core of MOLAVE. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of MOLAVE and along mountain slopes of Northern Luzon. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible near the center of MOLAVE. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Northern & Eastern Luzon, including the monsoon affected areas.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with occasional to continuous moderate to heavy rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, MINDORO, WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, WESTERN BICOL, & METRO MANILA. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri July 17 2009
Location of Center: 19.0º N Lat 122.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 140 km (75 nm) ESE of Calayan Island
Distance 2: 135 km (73 nm) NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 185 km (100 nm) SSE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 195 km (105 nm) NNE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 5: 250 km (135 nm) NE of Laoag City
Distance 6: 320 km (173 nm) NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 7: 520 km (280 nm) NNE of Metro Manila
Distance 8: 600 km (325 nm) NNW of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Calayan Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Fri July 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri July 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Fri July 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BATANES GROUP, CAGAYAN, BABUYAN GROUP, CALAYAN GROUP, ISABELA, KALINGA, APAYAO, ABRA, ILOCOS NORTE.
The above areas will experience stormy weather today (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: NORTHERN AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO, BENGUET, LA UNION, ILOCOS SUR, PANGASINAN.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 17 JULY: 19.4N 121.3E / 85-100 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 17 JULY POSITION: 18.5N 123.3E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (MOLAVE) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS AND HAS INTENSIFIED TO 45 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING BECOMING EVIDENT IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
QUADRANTS AS EVIDENCED IN ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 162311Z
SSMI IMAGE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STILL SHOWS POLEWARD
OUTFLOW TO BE WEAK INTO A SHALLOW TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH
(TUTT) TO THE EAST, BUT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS STRONG AND BROAD
OUTFLOW TO THE WEST HAS INCREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. TS 07W IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE RIDGING INTO CHINA FROM THE EAST...(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 17 JULY: 18.7N 122.6E / WNW @ 15 kph / 85 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 3-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ISANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri July 17 2009):
Currently issuing 3-hrly SMS & Web Updates and 6-hrly E-mail Updates on the TS MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM). ISANG is now internationally known as MOLAVE, a native filipino tree - after Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) upgraded and named the system.
MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 010
12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Fri 17 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #008
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon & Southern China should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving WNW under the steering influence of a low-to-mid-level high pressure northeast of the storm which has been extending into Eastern China. The 3-day medium-range forecast shows MOLAVE passing over the Calayan Group of Islands tonight before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning (Saturday) July 18. The storm shall accelerate WNW, reaching its peak wind speed of 95 kph tomorrow and start weakening before it makes landfall north of Hong Kong on Sunday afternoon, July 19. Dissipation of MOLAVE is forecast along the mountainous terrain of Guangdong Province of China early Monday morning, July 20.
+ Effects: MOLAVE's improving main core (CDO) has started to move into the Balintang Channel near the coast of Northern Cagayan where its inner bands is located. Its southwestern outer bands continues to spread across Northern & portions of Central Luzon...Widespread rains and winds not exceeding 60 kph can be expected along these bands, with increasing wind velocity of up to 100 kph near the core of MOLAVE. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of MOLAVE and along mountain slopes of Northern Luzon. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 50 kph with occasional to continuous moderate to heavy rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, MINDORO, WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, WESTERN BICOL, & METRO MANILA. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Fri July 17 2009
Location of Center: 19.0º N Lat 122.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 140 km (75 nm) ESE of Calayan Island
Distance 2: 135 km (73 nm) NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 185 km (100 nm) SSE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 195 km (105 nm) NNE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 5: 250 km (135 nm) NE of Laoag City
Distance 6: 320 km (173 nm) NNE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 7: 520 km (280 nm) NNE of Metro Manila
Distance 8: 600 km (325 nm) NNW of Metro Naga/CWC
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 17 kph (09 kts)
General Direction: Calayan Islands
Size (in Diameter): 775 km (420 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Fri July 17
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Fri July 17
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Fri July 17
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 72 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: BATANES GROUP, CAGAYAN, BABUYAN GROUP, CALAYAN GROUP, ISABELA, KALINGA, APAYAO, ABRA, ILOCOS NORTE.
The above areas will experience stormy weather today (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: NORTHERN AURORA, QUIRINO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO, BENGUET, LA UNION, ILOCOS SUR, PANGASINAN.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Numbers 1 & 2 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 17 JULY: 19.4N 121.3E / 85-100 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 18 JULY: 20.5N 119.3E / 95-120 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 19 JULY: 22.4N 115.1E / 65-85 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 20 JULY: 23.8N 111.3E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 17 JULY POSITION: 18.5N 123.3E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (MOLAVE) HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS AND HAS INTENSIFIED TO 45 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT OVER THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING BECOMING EVIDENT IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
QUADRANTS AS EVIDENCED IN ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 162311Z
SSMI IMAGE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STILL SHOWS POLEWARD
OUTFLOW TO BE WEAK INTO A SHALLOW TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH
(TUTT) TO THE EAST, BUT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS STRONG AND BROAD
OUTFLOW TO THE WEST HAS INCREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. TS 07W IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE RIDGING INTO CHINA FROM THE EAST...(more)
>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 17 JULY: 18.7N 122.6E / WNW @ 15 kph / 85 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS MOLAVE (ISANG/07W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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