for Saturday, 11 July 2009 [7:17 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat July 11 2009):
Continuing the 6-hrly E-Mail & Web Updates on TD SOUDELOR [GORIO] (except 12:00 AM).
SOUDELOR (GORIO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM SOUDELOR [GORIO/05W/0905]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 11 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Storm SOUDELOR (GORIO) moving closer to Hainan-Leizhou Area.
*Residents and visitors along Southwestern China should closely monitor the progress of SOUDELOR.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: SOUDELOR is expected to make landfall off Leizhou Peninsula by tomorrow morning and weaken rapidly as it moves overland across the Northern Vietnam boundary by early Monday morning July 13.
+ Effects: SOUDELOR's circulation remains compact with its rain bands spreading across Hainan Island and Southwestern China. Light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ light to moderate to sometimes heavy occasional rains with thunderstorms and squalls plus moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO & PORTIONS OF BICOL REGION, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES INCLUDING METRO MANILA. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) New Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) forming over the Philippine Sea...is now located near lat 17.3N lon 129.4E...or about 745 km East of Northern Luzon...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting NNW while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
(2) New Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) forming over the Caroline Islands...is now located near lat 8.4N lon 140.0E...or about 1,505 km East of Northern Mindanao or 240 km SE of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting WNW slowly and is currently embedded within the eastern extent of the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
These systems will be closely monitored for possible development into Significant Tropical Cyclones within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat July 11 2009
Location of Center: 20.3º N Lat 113.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 215 km (115 nm) South of Macau
Distance 2: 240 km (130 nm) SSW of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 310 km (167 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 315 km (170 nm) East of Haikou, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 800 km (430 nm) WNW of Laoag City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Leizhou-Hainan Area
Size (in Diameter): 405 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat July 11
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sat July 11
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 4 PM Sat July 11
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 JULY: 20.5N 111.4E / 55-75 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat July 11 2009):
Continuing the 6-hrly E-Mail & Web Updates on TD SOUDELOR [GORIO] (except 12:00 AM).
SOUDELOR (GORIO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM SOUDELOR [GORIO/05W/0905]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 007
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 11 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southwestern China should closely monitor the progress of SOUDELOR.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: SOUDELOR is expected to make landfall off Leizhou Peninsula by tomorrow morning and weaken rapidly as it moves overland across the Northern Vietnam boundary by early Monday morning July 13.
+ Effects: SOUDELOR's circulation remains compact with its rain bands spreading across Hainan Island and Southwestern China. Light to moderate rains with winds & squalls plus thunderstorms can be expected along these bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Cloudy skies w/ light to moderate to sometimes heavy occasional rains with thunderstorms and squalls plus moderate SW winds not exceeding 40 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS, MINDORO & PORTIONS OF BICOL REGION, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES INCLUDING METRO MANILA. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) New Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA) forming over the Philippine Sea...is now located near lat 17.3N lon 129.4E...or about 745 km East of Northern Luzon...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting NNW while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
(2) New Tropical Disturbance 91W (LPA) forming over the Caroline Islands...is now located near lat 8.4N lon 140.0E...or about 1,505 km East of Northern Mindanao or 240 km SE of Yap Island...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...currently drifting WNW slowly and is currently embedded within the eastern extent of the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
These systems will be closely monitored for possible development into Significant Tropical Cyclones within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat July 11 2009
Location of Center: 20.3º N Lat 113.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 215 km (115 nm) South of Macau
Distance 2: 240 km (130 nm) SSW of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 310 km (167 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 315 km (170 nm) East of Haikou, Hainan Is.
Distance 5: 800 km (430 nm) WNW of Laoag City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Leizhou-Hainan Area
Size (in Diameter): 405 km (220 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Sat July 11
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Sat July 11
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 4 PM Sat July 11
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 48 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 JULY: 20.5N 111.4E / 55-75 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 JULY: 21.0N 109.0E / 55-75 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 13 JULY: 21.9N 104.8E / 45-65 KPH / . @ .. KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 JULY POSITION: 20.2N 114.0E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT
17 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS TAIWAN AND INTO CHINA.
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE AND IS LARGELY BASED ON AN
INCREASINGLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. TS 05W HAS INCREASED IN CONVECTION
IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND HAS INTENSIFIED BY 05 KNOTS TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. CURRENT INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY A PGTW
DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AS WELL AS A 102236Z QUIKSCAT PASS
SHOWING UNFLAGGED 30-KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE
STORM...(more)
>> SOUDELOR, meaning: A legendary Pohnpei Chief. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 JULY POSITION: 20.2N 114.0E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT
17 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS TAIWAN AND INTO CHINA.
POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE AND IS LARGELY BASED ON AN
INCREASINGLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. TS 05W HAS INCREASED IN CONVECTION
IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND HAS INTENSIFIED BY 05 KNOTS TO
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. CURRENT INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY A PGTW
DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AS WELL AS A 102236Z QUIKSCAT PASS
SHOWING UNFLAGGED 30-KNOT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE
STORM...(more)
>> SOUDELOR, meaning: A legendary Pohnpei Chief. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
____________
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS SOUDELOR (GORIO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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