for Wednesday, 15 July 2009 [7:26 PM PST]
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Get the latest 6-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ISANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed July 15 2009):
Just uploaded the 6 PM T2K Tracking Chart on ISANG...Currently issuing 6-hrly E-Mail, SMS & Web Updates on the TD ISANG [07W] (except for 12:00 AM).
ISANG (07W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISANG [07W]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 15 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression ISANG (07W) moving faster towards the NW...increases its threat to Extreme Northern Luzon...outer rainbands affecting Bicol Region.
*Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon & Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of ISANG.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: ISANG is expected to continue tracking towards the NW and shall slow down later while traversing the Philippine Sea. The 2 to 5-day medium range forecast shows ISANG turning more to the WNW as it becomes a minimal Tropical Storm by early Friday morning. It shall pass very near the Batanes Group of Islands on Friday afternoon before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Saturday afternoon, July 18. ISANG shall weaken into a Tropical Depression as it prepares to make landfall over Guangdong Province, just west of Hong Kong on Sunday evening, July 19.
+ Effects: ISANG's circulation still consolidating over the Philippine Sea and has become more broader...Its western outer bands is now covering the Bicol Region...Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains with squalls and thunderstorms can be expected along these bands.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies w/ light to moderate occasional rains, thunderstorms, squalls and moderate SW winds not exceeding 35 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: CALAMIAN GROUP, PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS & SOUTHERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) over the South China Sea has left the PAR as it remains disorganized...currently located near lat 18.9N lon 113.4E...or about 765 km WNW of Laoag City...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...accelerating WNW while embedded within the broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed July 15 2009
Location of Center: 15.5º N Lat 127.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 370 km (200 nm) NE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 395 km (213 nm) NE of Gota Beach
Distance 3: 460 km (248 nm) NE of Metro Naga/CWC
Distance 4: 465 km (250 nm) ENE of Daet, Cam Norte
Distance 5: 530 km (285 nm) ESE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 575 km (310 nm) ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 7: 610 km (330 nm) SE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 8: 650 km (350 nm) ENE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (38 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 37 kph (20 kts)
General Direction: Extreme Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Wed July 15
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Wed July 15
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 JULY: 16.3N 126.7E / 55-75 KPH / NNW @ 17 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 JULY POSITION: 14.6N 127.7E.
^ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS TD 07W
HAS INCREASED CONVECTION WITH MULTIPLE BANDS CONSOLIDATING AROUND A
DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 150442Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS
WITH A FAIR DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE SYSTEM IS UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)AND JUST SOUTHWEST
OF AN ANTICYCLONE WHICH IS ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE TD IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
TOWARDS LUZON STRAIT WHERE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IS FAVORABLE. THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY UP TO 72 HRS THEN GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS HIGHER VWS ON ITS WESTWARD TURN TOWARDS HONG
KONG. AVAILABLE NUMERIC MODELS ARE SPLIT ON THE TRACK FORECAST
COVERING A SWATH FROM NORTHERN LUZON TO CENTRAL TAIWAN. THIS
FORECAST IS JUST NORTH OF CONSENSUS UP TO 72 HRS THEN SOUTH AND
AHEAD OF CONSENSUS PAST 72 HRS....(more)
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on ISANG!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed July 15 2009):
Just uploaded the 6 PM T2K Tracking Chart on ISANG...Currently issuing 6-hrly E-Mail, SMS & Web Updates on the TD ISANG [07W] (except for 12:00 AM).
ISANG (07W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISANG [07W]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004
As of 6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 15 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon & Taiwan should closely monitor the progress of ISANG.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: ISANG is expected to continue tracking towards the NW and shall slow down later while traversing the Philippine Sea. The 2 to 5-day medium range forecast shows ISANG turning more to the WNW as it becomes a minimal Tropical Storm by early Friday morning. It shall pass very near the Batanes Group of Islands on Friday afternoon before moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Saturday afternoon, July 18. ISANG shall weaken into a Tropical Depression as it prepares to make landfall over Guangdong Province, just west of Hong Kong on Sunday evening, July 19.
+ Effects: ISANG's circulation still consolidating over the Philippine Sea and has become more broader...Its western outer bands is now covering the Bicol Region...Cloudy skies with light to moderate rains with squalls and thunderstorms can be expected along these bands.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy skies w/ light to moderate occasional rains, thunderstorms, squalls and moderate SW winds not exceeding 35 kph can be expected over the following affected areas: CALAMIAN GROUP, PALAWAN, WESTERN VISAYAS & SOUTHERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 94W (LPA) over the South China Sea has left the PAR as it remains disorganized.
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 2 to 3 days. Kindly click the cool
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed July 15 2009
Location of Center: 15.5º N Lat 127.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 370 km (200 nm) NE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 395 km (213 nm) NE of Gota Beach
Distance 3: 460 km (248 nm) NE of Metro Naga/CWC
Distance 4: 465 km (250 nm) ENE of Daet, Cam Norte
Distance 5: 530 km (285 nm) ESE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 575 km (310 nm) ENE of Infanta, Quezon
Distance 7: 610 km (330 nm) SE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 8: 650 km (350 nm) ENE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (38 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 37 kph (20 kts)
General Direction: Extreme Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 8 ft (2.4 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Wed July 15
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Wed July 15
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 JULY: 16.3N 126.7E / 55-75 KPH / NNW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 JULY: 17.8N 125.8E / 55-75 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (00 GMT) 17 JULY: 20.1N 122.5E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 11 KPH
2 PM (00 GMT) 18 JULY: 20.6N 120.0E / 60-85 KPH / W @ 20 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 JULY POSITION: 14.6N 127.7E.
^ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS TD 07W
HAS INCREASED CONVECTION WITH MULTIPLE BANDS CONSOLIDATING AROUND A
DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 150442Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS
WITH A FAIR DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE SYSTEM IS UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)AND JUST SOUTHWEST
OF AN ANTICYCLONE WHICH IS ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE TD IS
TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
TOWARDS LUZON STRAIT WHERE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IS FAVORABLE. THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY UP TO 72 HRS THEN GRADUALLY
WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS HIGHER VWS ON ITS WESTWARD TURN TOWARDS HONG
KONG. AVAILABLE NUMERIC MODELS ARE SPLIT ON THE TRACK FORECAST
COVERING A SWATH FROM NORTHERN LUZON TO CENTRAL TAIWAN. THIS
FORECAST IS JUST NORTH OF CONSENSUS UP TO 72 HRS THEN SOUTH AND
AHEAD OF CONSENSUS PAST 72 HRS....(more)
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 JULY: 15.2N 126.9E / NW @ 19 kph / 55 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
____________
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD ISANG (07W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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