Bushman's Typhoon Blog: MOLAVE (ISANG) made landfall close to HK...weakens into a Storm... [Update #017]

for Sunday, 19 July 2009 [6:18 AM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun July 19 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly Web and E-mail Updates on TS MOLAVE [ISANG] (except for 12:00 AM).

MOLAVE (ISANG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 100 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 100 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM MOLAVE [ISANG/07W/0906]
T2K EMAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 017
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 19 July 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / HKO TC WARNING & RADAR
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

MOLAVE (ISANG) has made landfall near Hong Kong between 2-3AM early this morning as a 120-kph Typhoon...now moving across Western Guangdong, just north of Macau as a weakened Tropical Storm.

*Residents and visitors along Western Guangdong should closely monitor the progress of MOLAVE.

**Important Note: Residents of Hong Kong should continue take precautionary measures, as SW Gale or Storm Signal No. 8 is in force...Early this morning, Storm Signal No. 9 was raised as the Eyewall of MOLAVE passed some 40 km. to the North of HK. Kindly check out Hong Kong Observatory's bulletin for more details. Also check out the various wind gusts across various Automated Weather Station around HK in real-time.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MOLAVE is expected to continue moving WNW across Western Guangdong this morning. MOLAVE will start to dissipate later this afternoon until early tomorrow while moving overland, across the mountainous terrain of Western Guangdong.

+ Effects: MOLAVE's weakening core (Eye & Eyewall) is now moving away to the west of Hong Kong or just north of Macau. Gale force winds of up to 100 kph with widespread rains will continue to prevail over Macau, Hong Kong and Western Guangdong. Its outer and inner rainbands continues to weaken as it spreads across other parts of SW China and Hainan Island. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 100 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm along mountain slopes near the center of MOLAVE. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Western Gunagdong. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of SW China and Hainan Island, including the monsoon affected areas.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: NORTHERN PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA & THE COASTAL AREAS OF WESTERN LUZON.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) disorganized and weak over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 12.6N lon 131.0E...or about 695 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...almost stationary while embedded within the Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 2 to 3 days. Watch for more information on this new disturbance as new data arrives. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun July 19 2009
Location of Center: 22.7º N Lat 113.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 65 km (35 nm) NNW of Macau
Distance 2: 110 km (60 nm) WNW of Hong Kong
Distance 3: 355 km (192 nm) WSW of Shantou, China
Distance 4: 335 km (180 nm) ENE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 5: 925 km (500 nm) WNW of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (10-min avg): 100 kph (55 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 130 kph (70 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 25 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Western Guangdong
Size (in Diameter): 555 km (300 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
HKO TrackMap (for Public): Real-Time
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Sat July 18
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 AM Sun July 19
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:

2 PM (06 GMT) 19 JULY: 24.0N 110.9E / 75-95 KPH / NW @ 30 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 JULY: 26.1N 108.2E / 35-55 KPH / ... @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 JULY POSITION: 22.5N 114.0E.
^TROPICAL STORM 07W (MOLAVE) HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG, AND
HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INLAND INTO MAINLAND CHINA BEFORE DISSIPATING
NEAR TAU 24...(more)

>> MOLAVE, meaning: A popular hard wood used in furniture. Name contributed by: Philippines.
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RECENT HK OBSERVATORY TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS MOLAVE (ISANG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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