Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014
Name: TYPHOON MAN-YI [BEBENG/04W/0704]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 14 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 15 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #028
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 15 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #028
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON MAN-YI (BEBENG) HAS MADE LANDFALL OFF THE SOUTHERN
PART OF KYUSHU, JAPAN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...NOW HEADING
FAST TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN COASTLINES OF SHIKOKU AND HONSHU.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: MAN-YI is expected to continue losing strength and accelerate across the southern coastlines of
Shikoku & Honshu within 24 to 36 hours and is expected to
become an Extratropical Cyclone tomorrow. MAN-YI is fore-
cast to pass to the south of Tokyo tomorrow late afternoon
before moving back into the North Pacific Ocean tomorrow
night.
+ EFFECTS: MAN-YI's outer bands continues to spread across
Okinawa-Ryukyus, Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu. The inner
bands is now moving into Shikoku and Southwestern Honshu.
The Core (Eyewall+Eye) of the typhoon is now starting to
move into the coast of Southern Shikoku and is expected
to reach Southwestern Honshu tonight. Damaging typhoon-
force winds w/ moderate to heavy rains is expected over
the affected areas tonight until tomorrow. Coastal Storm
Surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves can be ex-
pected near and to the north of MAN-YI's projected path
or over Southern Kyushu-Shikoku-
and mudslides are imminent along river banks, low-lying
and mountainous areas of the affected areas. Extra-pre-
cautions must be implemented NOW as the dangerous
typhoon passes by
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon con-
tinues to weaken as MAN-YI loses strength. Cloudy skies
with possible intermittent passing rains or thunderstorms
can still be expected across the western sections of Luzon,
Southern Luzon and Visayas w/ SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or
higher. Stay tuned for more Monsoon updates on the next
advisory.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: N/A.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 14 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 32.1º N...LONGITUDE 132.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 145 KM (78 NM) ENE OF KAGOSHIMA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 215 KM (115 NM) SW OF KOCHI, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 815 KM (440 NM) WSW OF TOKYO, JAPAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 37 KM/HR (20 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN COASTLINES OF SHIKOKU & HONSHU
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,075 KM (580 NM)/ VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 26 FEET (7.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME JULY 14
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 15 JUL: 33.5N 134.6E / 130-160 KPH / ENE @ 35 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 15 JUL: 34.8N 138.8E / 110-140 KPH / ENE @ 37 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 JUL: 36.0N 143.4E / 95-120 KPH / ENE @ 37 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 JULY POSITION: 31.6N 131.1E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 04W (MAN-YI) REMAINS A POWERFUL TYPHOON, BUT
HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY FROM 24 HOURS AGO, WHILE MAINTAI-
NING INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A 132148Z TRMM MICRO-
WAVE SATELLITE IMAGE AND A MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE BOTH
EVEAL THAT SOME EROSION OF THE EYEWALL HAS OCCURRED OVER
THE WESTERN QUADRANT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION
HAS PERSISTED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STORM.
THE STORM HAS TRACKED AT 15 KNOTS TO THE NORTHEAST OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS, WHICH IS AN INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED OF
4-5 KNOTS FROM THE PREVIOUS 12 HOURS...(more)
>> MAN-YI {pronounced: mun~yi}, meaning: Name of a strait ori-
ginally. With the construction of a dam, that part of the
sea has become a reservoir. Name contributed by: Hong Kong.
____________
____________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on Typhoon MAN-YI (BEBENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on Typhoon MAN-YI (BEBENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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